The Fantasy Football Schmucks: August 2021 PPR Top 100

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Welcome to the August edition of The Fantasy Football Schmucks PPR Top 100. A lot has changed over the last month! Between injuries, COVID, and Aaron Rodgers coming back (oh yea we called it) every day we get something newsworthy that requires a ranking adjustment. So as the football season approaches, we will be adjusting these rankings all the way up until NFL Kickoff. As you read through these rankings, its important to remember that I’m not specifically telling you to draft these players where they are ranked. As you will find below, I have certain players ranked much higher than their current ADP. These rankings are based on full point PPR leagues, starting one QB, and rewarding 6 points per TD. Enjoy!

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  1. Dalvin Cook: Surprise! Christian McCaffrey is not my top ranked fantasy player for 2021. Now while I fully expect Run CMC to finish as one of the top scoring players in the league, everything is setting up for Dalvin Cook to have a monster fantasy season in 2021. The Vikings spent free agency rebuilding their 27th ranked defense with the signings of Dalvin Tomlinson, Mackensie Alexander, Sheldon Richardson, and Patrick Peterson. Minnesota may have also gotten 2 big steals in the NFL Draft by landing LT Christian Darrisaw and G Wyatt Davis. While the jury is still out there to see how Darrisaw and Davis can adapt to the NFL level, they should be an immediate upgrade over what the Vikings had on the offensive line last season. So what does that all mean for Dalvin Cook? If Minnesota can get back to Mike Zimmer style football by running the ball and playing defense, the sky is the limit for Dalvin Cook to improve on his 1,900 total yards and 17 TD’s that he accumulated in just 14 games last season.
  2. Christian McCaffrey: The 2019 fantasy football MVP was limited to just three games last season, totaling 374 yards and 6 TD’s. When the 2021 season kicks off, Run CMC will be playing with his “best” passing quarterback yet after the New York Jets traded Sam Darnold to the Carolina Panthers. As long as Sam Darnold isn’t seeing ghosts anymore, the Panthers offense could be very sneaky this season. While I fully expect McCaffrey to pick up where he left off, I don’t expect him to repeat his 116/1,005/4 receiving line from 2019 with Robby Anderson, D.J. Moore, and Terrace Marshall Jr commanding targets in the passing game this season.
  3. Davante Adams: The Baaaaaaaaaaaaaaad Maaaaaaaaan is back! With the return of Aaron Rodgers, Adams should be viewed as a top-5 fantasy pick in most formats. Despite missing 2 1/2 games last season due to injury, Adams still finished as the WR1 in fantasy, putting up a ridiculous 115/1,374/18. Adams has scored double-digit TDs in 4 of the last 5 seasons and should once again be among the league leaders in receiving TDs.
  4. Alvin Kamara: The Drew Brees-less era is here and one thing to monitor throughout training camp is the quarterback competition between Taysom Hill and Jameis Winston. From a fantasy perspective, “Famous Jameis” would be the preferred quarterback for Alvin Kamara and his passing game involvement. Following Drew Bree’s rib injury, Kamara only caught 21 passes in the final 8 games of the season, with a majority of those starts going to Taysom Hill. Kamara has yet to top 1,000 rushing yards in a season and his fantasy value relies heavily on his passing game volume and TD efficiency. If Jameis Winston wins the quarterback job, I would expect Kamara to come close to his 80 catch per year average. With Michael Thomas now expected to miss the first half of the season, Kamara could be a PPR monster right out of the gate.
  5. Travis Kelce: An every week fantasy difference maker, Kelce is coming off a historic 105/1,416/11 season. Those ridiculous numbers would have finished Kelce as the overall WR4, and that’s coming from the TE spot! With Patrick Mahomes at QB, Kelce has also been as consistent as they come with at least 1,200 yards in 3 straight seasons. I’m not afraid of an age 32 drop off.
  6. Derrick Henry: The “Big Dog” is coming off a monster 378/2,027/17 season and should once again be one of the first RBs taken in fantasy drafts this summer. The Titans lost a few key playmakers on offense this offseason with Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith leaving town. But the addition of Julio Jones should open things up even more for Henry on the ground. Expect another +300 touch, double digit TD season from the “Big Dog.”
  7. Nick Chubb: My pick for the 2021 rushing title, Nick Chubb finished with a rushing stat of 190/1,067/12 in 12 appearances last season. Everyone will be stuck on the notion that Nick Chubb doesn’t catch passes and that Kareem Hunt will be there to vulture touches. All of those points are true. However, not only is Nick Chubb one of the most efficient RB’s in the NFL, he will also be playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the league. As for PPR leagues, Nick Chubb was one of the most consistent fantasy players when on the field. Topping double digit PPR points in 10 of 12 games last season, while averaging 17.3 PPG. Don’t overthink Chubb’s fantasy value.
  8. Aaron Jones: Is the running back carousel finally over in Green Bay? The Packers let Jamaal Williams walk and made a huge four year, $48 million commitment to Aaron Jones this offseason. Now AJ Dillion and his monster calves are still lurking in the wings to steal touches, but Aaron Jones should still see plenty of opportunities in both the running and passing game. Throughout his four year career, Jones has been one of the most efficient runners in the league, with a career average of 5.2 YPC. With the return of Aaron Rodgers, I expect Jones to reach double-digit TDs yet again. Remember, Jones is two years removed from a 19 TD (RB2) season.
  9. Ezekiel Elliot: Zeke is coming off a down season for which he only ran for 979 yards (career low 4.0 YPC) and 8 total TDs. A large chunk of the blame can go to the injury of Dak Prescott, as Zeke only scored two TDs down the stretch following Dak’s injury. With a healthy Dak under center, look for Zeke to return to his pro bowl form of over 1,200 rushing yards and double digit TDs.
  10. Tyreek Hill: The “cheetah” is coming off a very productive 87/1,276/15 season, scoring double-digit PPR points in all but one game in 2020. In 2021, Hill will once again have the highest weekly ceilings among all wide receivers with Patrick Mahomes at Quarterback.
  11. Stefon Diggs: We finally saw what Stefon Diggs was capable of in a pass first offense, his 127/1,535/8 (328.6) PPR points came in 3rd behind only Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill. With strong armed Josh Allen at quarterback, Diggs should once again be among the league leaders in targets and receptions.
  12. Austin Ekeler: Fantasy football darling “Stunning Steve” Austin Ekeler was efficient when he was on the field last season, tallying 54 receptions, 933 total yards, and 3 TDs in 10 games. While he has never topped 600 yards on the ground, Ekeler could be in for a monster PPR season with former Saints OC Joe Lombardi joining the Chargers coaching staff. Lombardi had a hand in the success of a few running backs you might have heard of, such as Darren Sproles, Reggie Bush, and Alvin Kamara.
  13. DeAndre Hopkins: Nuk Hopkins first season in the desert was a success, finishing as the WR4 with 115/1,407/6. The Cardinals went out and replaced aging veteran Larry Fitzgerald with aging veteran AJ Green this offseason. Still, Nuk should once again be heavily targeted in Kliff Kingsbury’s high powered passing attack. Expect Hopkins to return to scoring between 8-10 TDs.
  14. Calvin Ridley: Goodbye Julio Jones, hello Kyle Pitts! When the 2021 season kicks off, Calvin Ridley will be taking over WR1 duties for the Atlanta Falcons. Ridley is coming off his best season yet, posting 90/1,374/9 in 15 games last season. While Atlanta’s new offense with Kyle Pitts remains to be seen, in 7 games without Julio last season, Ridley posted a respectable 50/765/3 on 79 targets. Ridley should be viewed as a legitimate WR1 in 2021 and should be one of the most heavily targeted WR’s this season, with around 140-160 targets.
  15. A.J. Brown: In 14 games last season, Brown put together 70/1,075/11 on 106 targets, which seems like nothing when compared to the WRs who finished above him. While the addition of Julio Jones puts a damper on Browns potential massive target share, Julio’s presence should make it impossible to double-team AJB. With a regressing Tennessee defense, expect the Titan’s to be more pass happy in 2021.
  16. D.K. Metcalf: Last year at this time, I predicted Metcalf to overtake Tyler Lockett as the Seahawks WR1. And boy, did Metcalf not disappoint! Metcalf is coming off a breakout 83/1,303/10 season. The big question lingering over Metcalf’s fantasy value this offseason, will Pete Carroll let Russ cook? After absolutely destroying Darius Slay in week 12, Metcalf cooled off down the stretch posting 30/360/3 over the final 6 games of the season.
  17. Najee Harris: Since our July rankings, I’ve warmed up a lot on Najee Harris. There is definitely a lot to like, Harris was a stud at Alabama (2,690 yards and 39 total TDs over his junior & senior seasons.) Harris also has the size (6’2 230lbs) to handle a full NFL sized workload. However, my overall concern lies with the Steelers offensive line. Pittsburgh’s O-line was absolute trash last season, and the loss of David Decastro is a huge blow to what appears to be an even worse group of talent up front. That being said, Harris is going to be used a ton this season. While his YPC could leave a lot to be desired, Harris could be in line for 300-350 touches this season.
  18. Antonio Gibson: Coming off an impressive rookie season, rushing for 795 yards and 11 TDs. Word coming out of camp is that The Football Team wants to get Gibson more involved in the passing game, after catching just 36 balls last season. If Gibson can lead the ground game and eat into J.D. Mckissic’s passing game volume, A-Gib could turn into a steal on draft day.
  19. Saquon Barkley: Injuries have plagued the former Nittany Lion over the past few years, but Saquon is still one of the most talented running backs when he is healthy. And health will be a big focus this summer as Saquon works himself back from a season ending ACL tear that also included a mild MCL sprain and a partial tear of the meniscus. Yes, modern day medicine has done wonders for ACL tears, hell I was beating the drum for Adrian Peterson way back in 2012. But not every ACL rehab is the same, and I am stressing caution before moving Barkley up my rankings. When Saquon does return to the field this season though, the New York football Giants will look vastly different on offense. The additions of Kenny Golladay, John Ross, Kyle Rudolph, and Kadarius Toney should limit the stacked boxes Saquon experienced over his first three seasons. However, I don’t picture Barkley coming close to his career high of 91 receptions with the amount of receiver talent around him. Barkley was just activated off the PUP list, so expect him on the field in some capacity week 1.
  20. Darren Waller: Was an absolute beast last season and proved that 2019 was no fluke , posting 107/1,196/9 on 146 targets! Waller should once again see plenty of volume as the most reliable pass catcher on the Raider’s offense.
  21. Clyde Edwards-Helaire: CEH turned out to be a massive bust last season, thanks in part to the Chiefs horrible run blocking, splitting backfield work with Le’Veon Bell, and injuries down the stretch. CEH still quietly finished with 1,100 total yards and 5 TDs, but he did not live up to his 1st round ADP last summer. Going into 2021 fantasy drafts, CEH is currently a 3rd round value pick with league winning upside. Edwards-Helaire will have an improved offensive line in 2021, have less competition for RB touches, and happens to play on one of the most efficient offenses in the NFL. I expect CEH to have a lot better luck in goal line situations this season as well and will offer +10 TD upside. Not bad for someone going in the RB2 range.
  22. Jonathan Taylor: JT was a fantasy football league winner, compiling 741 rushing yards and 8 total TD’s over the last 6 games of the 2020 season. With that being said, Jonathan Taylor is one of my prime bust candidates this season due to his limited passing game role behind Nyheim Hines, as well as the possibility of losing touches to the returning Marlon Mack. I love JT’s talent, but I just can’t trust the Colts coaching staff to consistently feed him touches. I just don’t see JT living up to his current 1st round ADP.
  23. James Robinson: The waiver wire hero last season, Robinson had about as good as a season as an undrafted free agent could, totaling 1,414 yards and 10 total TDs, finishing as the overall RB7 in PPR. Robinson gets a massive upgrade in the rankings with the loss of Travis Etienne for the season. Robinson will still share work with Carlos Hyde (seriously don’t be afraid of him) but I view Robinson as a very solid RB2 with upside.
  24. Keenan Allen: After being tagged as “injury prone” during his first few seasons, Keenan Allen missed his first game in over 3 years, playing in just 14 games last season. In those 14 games though, he was phenomenal with rookie sensation Justin Herbert, finishing with 100/992/8. Keenan Allen should once again be a target hog, and should be viewed as a WR1 in PPR leagues.
  25. Cooper Kupp: Going way under-drafted right now, Kupp is coming off back-to-back +90 catch seasons with Jared Fricken Goff! Don’t forget, Kupp finished as the overall WR4 in 2019. Yes, Kupp is coming off a career low 3 TDs, but he should instantly become one of Matthew Stafford’s favorite targets in LA. With the massive improvement at QB, I’m projecting Kupp to finish with 95/1,200/11.
  26. Justin Jefferson: All Justin Jefferson did last season was break the rookie WR record for receiving yards, finishing with 88 catches, 1,400 yards, and 7 TDs. I love Jefferson’s talent, but I see some regression coming based off of Minnesota’s improving defense and its run-first offense. I see Jefferson finishing around 75-85 catches, 1,200 yards, and 7-9 TDs.
  27. Allen Robinson: What Allen Robinson has been able to do with crappy quarterbacks is a true test to how how great A-Rob has been through his 7 year career. A-Rob has topped +90 catches and over 1,000 yards in each of the last two seasons. Hopefully this Andy Dalton show will be short lived and Justin Fields can come in and finally send Allen Robinson to the moon!
  28. Terry McLaurin: Scary Terry should benefit massively with the addition of gunslinger Ryan Fitzmagic at quarterback. McLaurin is coming off a solid 87/1,118/4 season, even with the inaccurate Dwayne Haskins and Alex Smith passing the football. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been up and down throughout his career, but he has also been responsible for huge fantasy seasons from the likes of DaVante Parker and Brandon Marshall.
  29. CeeDee Lamb: The CeeDee Lamb hype train is in full effect this summer as many are hoping for a second year leap from the former Oklahoma Sooner. Lamb finished a strong rookie season with 74/935/5 and was putting up solid WR2 numbers in PPR leagues through his first four games with Dak Prescott (21/309/2). Lamb has reportedly been lining up all over the formation this offseason and offers WR2 upside in Dallas’s high powered passing game.
  30. Kyle Pitts: Everyone knows that rookie tight ends struggle adapting to the NFL, so its a good thing Kyle Pitts is not your prototypical tight end. Pitts is a 6’6 240lb offensive weapon who ran a 4.44 at his pro day. With the Falcons trading Julio Jones this offseason, Pitts will be walking into an ATL offense that has 213 targets available for the taking. I’m perfectly fine taking a shot at Pitts as early as the middle of round 3. I believe his upside is that high.
  31. Robert Woods: Has seen at least 129 targets the past three seasons and has hit 90 receptions in back-to-back years. Moving on from Jared Goff to Matthew Stafford should do wonders for Woods and I would expect Woods to top his career high 6 TDs this season. Woods is locked in as one of my favorite WR2 plays this season.
  32. Chris Carson: What’s keeping Chris Carson from jumping up higher on this list is his inability to play a full season. Through 4 seasons, Carson has played 4 games, 14 games, 15 games, and 12 games last season. We all know that Pete Carroll wants to run the ball, and prior to last season Carson put together back-to-back +1,000 yard/9 TD seasons. Carson is a solid RB2 with low end RB1 upside if he can stay healthy.
  33. J.K. Dobbins: The former Ohio State Buckeye picked up some steam down the stretch last season, finishing his rookie season with 925 total yards, 9 TDs, while averaging a ridiculous 6.0 YPC. Dobbins is best viewed as an RB2 thanks to the presence of the “Gus Bus” and the Ravens commitment to RB by committee. There has been “coach talk” this summer about increasing Dobbins role in the passing game, which would be massive for Dobbins fantasy value.
  34. D’Andre Swift: Showed flashes last season, averaging 4.6 YPC, 878 total yards, and 10 total TDs in his 13 appearances last season. Swifts fantasy value took a hit this offseason with the addition of Jamaal Williams, who is a larger back compared to Swift, as well as an established pass catcher. I personally feel many in the fantasy football community are overlooking the Jamaal Williams signing. Swift should still have plenty of receptions to hit value most weeks, but I don’t like his TD upside with Jared Goff at QB. Swift is currently dealing with a sore groin, continue to monitor throughout the preseason.
  35. Amari Cooper: Started 2020 on a warpath, putting together a 37/401/1 stat line in his first 4 games with Dak Prescott last season. Cooper finished 2020 with a career high in catches (92) for 1,114 yards and 5 TDs. I still don’t believe the Cowboys defense will be that improved (lots of shootouts baby) and I feel like CeeDee Lamb is still a year away from overtaking Coop (if healthy) as the Cowboys WR1. Coopers return from ankle surgery is going to be one to monitor as the season nears, but if all signs point towards him being healthy by week 1, Cooper is going to be a great value pick in the late 3rd-4th rounds.
  36. Tyler Lockett: As I predicted last year in these rankings, DK Metcalf overtook Lockett as the WR1 in Seattle. However, Lockett still finished as the overall WR8 with 100/1,054/10. Lockett’s current 5th/6th round ADP reflects Pete Carroll’s commitment to the run game as well as Lockett’s role fading down the stretch. While Lockett possesses week winning upside, he had 7 games where he didn’t even score double digits in PPR. That’s literally almost half a season where he scored under 10 points! Lockett is best suited as your WR2 and is a steal at his current 6th round ADP.
  37. T.J. Hockenson: The 3rd year TE is coming off his best season yet, finishing with 67/723/6. Entering 2021, the Detroit Lions have HUGE questions marks in the passing game. With Matthew Stafford, Kenny Golladay, and Marvin Jones all gone. Enter Jared Goff, Breshad Perriman, and Tyrell Williams. Both Perriman and Williams have shown flashes in the past, but mainly in the deep passing game. Combine that with Jared Goff’s comfort level with short/intermediate passing routes, Hockenson could be on the verge of a massive breakout season.
  38. George Kittle: Was bound to see some regression last season, but injuries played a big factor in his 48/634/2 stat line, while only playing in 8 games. Targets may be harder to come by though, with Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel both fully healthy, but Kittle should definitely top his career high 5 TDs. Kittle is a legit top-5 overall NFL talent, but I don’t love his situation this season.
  39. David Montgomery: Talk about a league winner last season, David Montgomery was an absolute stud down the stretch, finishing with 824 total yards and 8 TDs over the last 6 games of the 2021 season. Mont’s 2021 fantasy value took a massive hit this offseason with the addition of passing game back Damien Williams to go a long with the pending return Tarik Cohen. I do not expect Mont to top 50 catches again this season.
  40. Joe Mixon: One of my favorite debates on fantasy twitter! Every year I feel like I am not ranking Mixon low enough. Truth is, with the Nard Dog leaving for Tampa, Mixon should take over as a true workhorse in the Bengal’s backfield. Will he be able to have success though? I’m not banking on it. Mixon played in just 6 games last season, putting together a pathetic 3.6 YPC. Joe Burrow and the Bengals passing game will keep the offense fun to watch, but I don’t believe the Bengals did enough to improve the offensive line to justify Mixon’s 2nd round ADP. Let someone else make this mistake on draft day.
  41. Patrick Mahomes: Will once again be one of the first quarterbacks taken in fantasy drafts this summer. Mahomes has thrown over +35 TDs and +4,700 yards in 2 of 3 seasons. While its great to have consistency at QB, I personally prefer to wait when drafting QBs. Mahomes finished as the QB3 last season, which was only 26 more points than Tom Brady, who finised as the overall QB7. And Brady was someone you could have drafted 5-7 rounds after Mahomes! Case in point, wait on QBs people!
  42. Josh Allen: Coming off a breakout 4,544 passing yards, 421 rushing yards, and 45 total TD season. With the addition of Emmanuel Sanders to line up alongside Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley, you could argue that Allen has the best WR options in the NFL. Allen saw an increase of 111 passing attempts in 2020 and should once again be one of the most pass heaviest QBs in 2021.
  43. Adam Thielen: Adam Thielen is becoming the forgotten man in Minnesota following Justin Jefferson’s break out in 2020. Thielen is also coming off a very good 2020 season, setting a career high in TDs (14). While I do expect some TD regression from Thielen this season, I don’t expect a huge amount of regression. Thielen has shown a strong chemistry with Kirky, especially in the redzone. I’m projecting around 70-80 catches, 1,000 yards, and 9-10 TDs.
  44. Chris Godwin: I was spot on with my 2019 projection for Godwin, and it makes me even happier that I was spot on with his 2020 regression. Godwin was on my “do not draft” list last season as his ADP was just too damn high. This season, his ADP is dropping into the 4th-5th rounds, which is where he should be. With the endless options in the Bucs passing game, Godwin is just going to be too inconsistent for my liking.
  45. Josh Jacobs: Coming off back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons, Jacobs lost a lot of fantasy value when the Raiders signed Kenyan Drake. Jacobs will remain the primary early down back and retain goal line duties as Kenyan Drake looks to be featured on 3rd downs.
  46. Mike Davis: Stepping up for fantasy owners after Christian McCaffrey went down, Mike Davis put up his best Run CMC impression with 1,015 total yards, 59 receptions, and 8 total TDs. This offseason Mike Davis and his tree trunk like quads landed in Hotlanta, where the Falcons have over 300 running back touches up for grabs.
  47. Jerry Jeudy: Showed flashes during his rookie season, catching 52 passes for 856 yards and 3 TDs. Jeudy’s rookie season could have been much more though, but the combination of Drew Lock being Drew Lock along with Jeudy’s 12 drops resulted in a so-so debut. Jeudy gets an upgrade in these rankings with Teddy 2 Gloves winning the QB job in Denver.
  48. Julio Jones: Julio will be ditching Matty Ice for Ryan Tannehill in 2021. Julio gets a lot of grief for getting injured, but prior to only playing 9 games last season, Julio has played at least 14 games dating back to the 2013. Julio is 32 this season, and while his best days may be behind him, I picture Julio finishing with around 65-75 catches, 1,050 yards, and 6-8 TDs if he can stay healthy. *UPDATE* Julio is currently dealing with an undisclosed leg injury. Signs point to Julio being ready for week 1.
  49. Diontae Johnson: Lead the Steelers with 144 targets last season, finishing with 88/923/7 in 15 games. The return of Juju as well as the emphasis on fixing the running game with Najee Harris could put a damper on Diontae’s target volume, especially in the short passing game. Still has WR2 upside in PPR leagues.
  50. D.J. Moore: Coming off back-to-back +1,000 yard/4 TD seasons, D.J. “Moore of that please” is coming off a career high 18.1 YPC. Moore’s usage in the 3rd week of the preseason was very encouraging for his 2021 outlook.
  51. Mike Evans: Has yet to finish with less than 1,000 receiving yards in each of his 7 NFL seasons. While his 70 receptions were lacking in PPR leagues, Evans made up for his lack of targets by scoring 13 times last season. With too many mouths to feed in the Tampa Bay offense, I would expect 55-65 catches, 1,000 yards, and 10-12 TDs for Big Mike.
  52. Dak Prescott: Was on his way to having a career year (1,856 passing yards and 12 total TDs) prior to his week 5 ankle injury last season. All signs point to Dak making a full recovery by the time week 1 kicks off and Dak will once again be surrounded by a plethora of receiving options. With shootouts looking to be on the menu again in Big D, look for Dak to make a strong push to finish as a top-3 QB this season.
  53. Kyler Murray: Finished as the QB5 last season, with just under 4,000 passing yards, 819 rushing yards, and 37 total TDs. Will the addition of AJ Green move Murray up into the top 3 QBs? I don’t believe so.
  54. Mark Andrews: Last seasons 58/701/7 may be Andrews new ceiling as the Ravens added Rashod Bateman and Sammy Watkins to beef up the Ravens receiving core this offseason. *UPDATE* With both Bateman and Hollywood Brown dealing with injuries, Andrew’s could find himself with a nice target share to begin the season.
  55. Robby Anderson: One of my favorite value picks in fantasy drafts, Robby Anderson is coming off a very productive 95/1,096/3 season with Teddy Bridgewater throwing the football. In 2021, Robby will reconnect with Sam Darnold whom he caught 88/1,353/11 during their time in New York. While this ranking is very aggressive based off Anderson’s current 9th round ADP, I view Robby Anderson as an every week WR2.
  56. Myles Gaskin: After tallying 972 total yards, 5 total TDs, along with 41 receptions in 10 games last season, Gaskin seemed like a tremendous value on draft day. However, Gaskin appears locked in a 3-way committee alongside Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed. Now I still believe Gaskin will lead the Dolphins backfield in touches, however The Gas Man is more of a backend RB2 with the shared workload.
  57. Darrell Henderson: Cam Akers was expected to make a massive leap this season, but following Akers season-ending Achilles injury, Henderson is expected to handle 1A duties in a RBBC backfield. In 15 games last season, Henderson averaged 4.5 YPC with 783 total yards and 6 TDs. With the addition of Sony Michel, I’m expecting a RBBC in LA.
  58. Javonte Williams: Should enter the 2021 season splitting carries with Melvin Gordon, but Williams should have every opportunity to carve out a larger roll in the Bronco’s backfield. At North Carolina, Williams ranked 6th in the nation with 1,140 yards (7.3 YPC), as well as scoring 19 TDs.
  59. Miles Sanders: Missed four games last season, finishing with 1,064 total yards and 6 TDs. Having a mobile quarterback in Jalen Hurts is always a plus for running backs, but there has been talk of Sanders splitting work with Boston Scott. Personally not investing into the Eagles backfield in 2021.
  60. Kareem Hunt: The Robin to Nick Chubb’s Batman, Kareem was the RB10 last season, finishing with 1,145 total yards and 11 TDs. With the monster season I’m expecting out of Chubb, view Hunt as a low-end RB2/flex in PPR leagues.
  61. Chase Edmonds: For the 3rd year in a row, the Cardinals will enter the season with a new RB or RB’s atop the depth chart. Edmonds is expected to split work with newly acquired James Conner, with Conner expected to take over goal line work. Edmonds should be viewed as the back to own, with the possibility to take over the workhorse role if/when Conner gets hurt.
  62. Corey Davis: Will take over the WR1 role for the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets! The New York Jets was a fantasy wasteland under Adam Gase, hopefully the arrivals of Mike LaFleur and Zach Wilson can provide a much needed boost to gang greens offense.
  63. Odell Beckham Jr: Avoided the PUP list to start camp, OBJ lacks the volume and upside on the Brown’s run first offense. In 7 games last season, OBJ only had 23 receptions, 319 yards, and 4 total TDs. On name value alone, OBJ will probably be drafted in the WR2 range. But I view him as a WR3 entering this season.
  64. Tee Higgins: The Bengals spent a high draft pick on Ja’Marr Chase this offseason, but Tee Higgins was the talk of OTA’s. Higgins is coming off a very productive 67/908/6 season, and that’s with Joe Burrow only starting 10 games. Higgins will have to compete for targets alongside Boyd and Chase, limiting his upside.
  65. Ja’Marr Chase: Prior to opting out his junior year in 2020, Chase led the nation in receiving yards (1,780) and TDs (20) while catching passes from Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow. The Bengals already have established pass catchers in Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins, but the departure of AJ Green frees up 104 targets. Due to his already established rapport with Joe Burrow, as well as the Bengals pass-happy offense, Ja’Marr Chase could instantly return WR3 value.
  66. Chase Claypool: Coming off a breakout 62/873/9, as well as scoring an additional two TDs in the Steelers Wildcard loss to the Browns. With the return of Juju Smith-Schuster, Claypool should be viewed as a boom or bust WR3.
  67. Marquez Callaway: One month ago Callaway wasn’t even in the top-100, but that shows you how fast things change in the world of fantasy football. Callaway will enter the season as the Saints WR1 and should see tons of targets from LASIK vision Jameis Winston, who has shown he is willing to lock on WR’s throughout his career. Taking both Callaway and Michael Thomas could be a great way to capitalize on missing out on WR early in drafts.
  68. Tyler Boyd: Cooled off down the stretch last season, after averaging 16 PPR points per game with Joe Burrow at QB. Should remain a solid WR3 option as he competes for targets in the Bengals passing attack.
  69. Brandon Aiyuk: With Kittle and Deebo Samuel missing time last season, Aiyuk was able to see plenty of volume down the stretch, putting together 60/748/5 on 96 targets, as well as 2 rushing scores. With the 49ers receiving options currently healthy, I view Aiyuk as a low-end WR3 option entering 2021. Aiyuk would get a nice bump if Trey Lance was starting.
  70. Jaylen Waddle: Has taken full advantage of training camp reps with both Will “I pulled a hamstring” Fuller and DeVante Parker sitting out. Waddle has reportedly impressed as an outside receiver and could also be used on screens and jet sweeps this season. Combine that with his chemistry with Tua and Fuller’s inability to stay healthy, I feel that the fantasy football community is way too low on Waddle.
  71. Tom Brady: The GOAT finished as the overall QB7 last season, passing for 4,633 yards and 43 total TDs. The big question entering Tom Brady’s soon to be age 44 season is, “will father time finally catch up with the GOAT?” The good news for Brady is that the band will remain together for at least 1 more season. With weapons all over the field and another year to grasp Tampa’s offense, Brady could be looking at another monster season as he chases ring number 8.
  72. Aaron Rodgers: The BAAAAAAAAD MAAAAAAAAAN is back for his “Last Dance” in Green Bay. The 2020 NFL MVP is coming off a QB3 finish and will once again be playing with a chip on his shoulder. Rodgers is coming off an absolute monster season, scoring 51 total TDs with just 5ints.
  73. Russell Wilson: Last seasons QB4, Mr. Unlimited faded down the stretch as the Seahawks offense went from “let Russ cook” to “let Russ simmer.” Reports coming out of OTA’s is that the Seahawks offense will be more “up-tempo” this season, which would be welcoming news for the entire Seahawks passing game.
  74. Lamar Jackson: Averaged a measly 183.8 passing yards per game last season, luckily Lamar is coming off back-to-back +1,000 yard rushing seasons. In 2021 Lamar “should” take a step forward as a passer with an improved receiving core featuring Hollywood Brown, Mark Andrews, Sammy Watkins, and rookie Rashod Bateman.
  75. Justin Herbert: The 2020 Offensive ROY is coming off a record setting season, with 31 passing TDs (36 total) and 4,336 passing yards, finishing just 38 yards shy of Andrew Lucks rookie record. The Chargers are switching to a more up-tempo offense this season, which should play into Herbert’s strengths from his days at Oregon. A top-5 QB finish is definitely within reach.
  76. Robert Tonyan: Was an absolute animal in the redzone last season, posting 52/586/11 finishing as the TE3. With Aaron Rodgers returning to Green Bay, Tonyan could flirt with top-5 numbers once again.
  77. Logan Thomas: Broke out in 2020, with 72 receptions, 670 yards, and 6 TDs. Thomas should benefit a ton from Ryan Fitzpatrick’s gunslinger mentality.
  78. Trey Sermon: Projected to take on the Tevin Coleman “lead back” role, the former Sooner should get plenty of opportunities on a run-heavy 49ers offense. Finding fantasy football consistency in this backfield could be a headache this season.
  79. Raheem Mostert: Coming off a career low 5.0 YPC… seriously feed this man Shanahan! For now Mostert is locked in a RBBC with Trey Sermon. Mostert has potential to have monster weeks, but could be inconsistent like Sermon.
  80. A.J. Dillon: Enters 2021 as the primary backup to Aaron Jones. Throughout his 4 year career, Aaron Jones has only played a full 16 game season once, missing a total of 10 games over that span. A.J. Dillon should be viewed as one of the top RB handcuffs in fantasy football, and has league winning upside if Aaron Jones were to miss extensive time.
  81. Antonio Brown: AB finished with 45/483/4 in 8 regular season games with the Bucs, while also scoring 2 TDs in the postseason. Not going to lie, Brown is my favorite Bucs WR in redraft as he presents the best overall value. To begin the season, Brown should best be viewed as a WR3/4 with WR2 upside if something were to happen to Evans or Godwin.
  82. Michael Gallup: Experienced a dip in production last season (59/843/5) but much of that can be attributed to the ascension of CeeDee Lamb, as well as the injury to Dak Prescott. Gallup enters a contract year and has reportedly been lining up both on the perimeter and in the slot, which could lead to more mismatches as well as a higher weekly floor. Keep an eye on Amari Cooper’s health as the season approaches.
  83. Mike Williams: Big Mike Williams enters a contract year in 2021. Throughout his 4 year career, Williams has had some success, however he has never been able to put it all together in the same season. With former New Orleans Saints offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi taking over duties in LA, Williams is expected to play the X receiver spot (aka Michael Thomas role). Williams already has a 1,000 yard season and a 10 TD season under his belt. So if he can put it all together in 2021, he is going to be a huge steal on draft day.
  84. Ryan Tannehill: Even with the Titans offense literally running through Derrick Henry, Tannehill was still able to set a career high with 40 total TDs (7 rushing) while finishing as the QB8 in fantasy last season. While I personally dislike the loss of Jonnu Smith, pairing Julio Jones with A.J. Brown is going to give defensive coordinators nightmares in 2021.
  85. Matthew Stafford: The “staph infection” ditched the Motor City for the bright lights of Hollywood this offseason. A fresh start in LA could be exactly what Stafford needs, as the last time Stafford has eclipsed +30 TDs was way back in 2015. With the Rams, Stafford should benefit from Sean McVay’s play calling as well as the underrated receiving core of Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. I like Stafford as a low-end QB1 who could finish somewhere between QB5-QB9.
  86. DeVonta Smith: The former Heisman winner set records all across the board, Alabama’s school record for catches (235), SEC records for receiving yards (3,965) & receiving TDs (46), and lead the nation in 2020 on receiving yards on screen plays (304). Smith is a big play waiting to happen and should have every opportunity to establish himself as the WR1 for the Eagles. *UPDATE* Smith is back on the practice field after suffering a sprained MCL.
  87. Damien Harris: Currently expected to lead the Patriot’s backfield in touches, Harris could return decent RB2 weeks, but he’s going to kill your lineup on weeks that he doesn’t score due to his lack of passing game usage.
  88. Leonard Fournette: Lombardi Lenny was unleashed during the Bucs Super Bowl run, tallying 448 total yards, 18 receptions, and 4 total TDs in 4 playoff appearances. The Bucs did bring in receiving back Giovani Bernard this offseason, and following week 1 of the preseason, the Bucs backfield seems like its heading towards a 3-way committee. Fournette is still my RB to own in the Bucs backfield.
  89. Marvin Jones: Its not Laviska Shenault, its not D.J. Chark, its Marvin Jones who will be the WR1 for Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars this season. As seen during the first preseason game, Marvin Jones still has the talent to make contested catches downfield. Marvin Jones reuniting with offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell should also give him a slight edge over the Jaguars young WR room. Currently dealing with an AC joint sprain, Jones will be ready for week 1.
  90. Courtland Sutton: After tearing his ACL in week 2 of the 2020 season, Sutton appears to have made a full recovery. Sutton was taken in the 4th round in many fantasy drafts last summer and should be a value pick in 2021 based off his current ADP. Sutton is only 2 years removed from going 72/1,112/6 and could see an upgrade at QB this season with Teddy Bridgewater.
  91. Kenny Golladay: The New York Giants suddenly have offensive weapons all over the field. With only one ball to go around, along with the big question mark of Danny Dimes, I view Golladay more as a WR3 option. I’m expecting Golladay to catch around 60-65 passes, flirt with 1,000 yards, and 5-7 TDs. *UPDATE* Kenny G has missed out on a ton of reps with Danny Dimes as heals from a pulled hamstring. Golladay is turning into a draft day fade.
  92. Mecole Hardman: Currently slotted at the WR2 spot on the Chiefs depth chart, Mecole Hardman could finally have his opportunity to shine. In two seasons, Hardman has put up 67/1,098/10 on 103 targets while averaging 16.4 YPC. If given a full time role, Hardman could explode with Patrick Mahomes. Hardman is probably one long preseason catch away from shooting up fantasy draft boards.
  93. Gus Edwards: The Ravens front office made it a point this offseason to bring back the “Gus Bus” on a 2 year $10 million contract extension. While Edwards will be in a committee with second year back J.K. Dobbins, the Gus Bus will have some stand alone value as a RB3 with upside in Baltimore’s run-heavy offense. Throughout his 3 year career, Edwards has averaged 5.2 YPC and is coming off a career high in yards (723) and TDs (6).
  94. Zack Moss: There has been talk of Moss possibly taking over as the 1A in Buffalo’s backfield. Moss was pretty unimpressive in year one, totaling 576 yards and 5 TDs in 13 games last season. Continue to monitor throughout training camp.
  95. Joe Burrow: The former #1 overall pick was off to a decent start in 2020 (2,688 yards & 16 TDs in 10 games) before tearing his ACL & MCL in week 11. Burrow was able to avoid the PUP to begin camp, although there has been reports of Burrow looking a little rusty. Which isn’t a huge concern this time of year. Many in fantasy circles have Burrow penciled in for a sophomore breakout as he will have some serious weapons at WR in Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, and former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase. It remains to be seen how both Burrow’s knee and the Bengals offensive line will hold up this season.
  96. Brandin Cooks: I may avoid the Texans all-together this season depending on who’s playing QB, but Brandin Cooks could be a target monster on a team that will be chasing points every week.
  97. Dallas Goedert: Dallas Goedert’s career high of 87 targets (2019) would see a really nice bump if Zach Ertz were traded. Zach Ertz remains on the roster however, which limits Goedert’s upside.
  98. Juju Smith-Schuster: With the Steelers struggles in the running game last season, Juju soaked up a ton of underneath routes, finishing with 97/831/9. His 8.6 YPC in 2020 was a career low, but a possible move outside this season could open things up for Juju downfield.
  99. Melvin Gordon: Fantasy stock took a major hit when the Broncos traded up in the second round of the NFL draft for Javonte Williams. Gordon’s best fantasy trait is his nose for the endzone, as he has scored at least 9 TDs in each of the past 5 seasons. Drafting William’s and parring him with Gordon a few rounds later is a great way to lock down the Broncos backfield.
  100. Ronald Jones: Will once again be splitting work with Uncle/Lombardi Lenny. Rojo has less value in PPR leagues and would need an injury to Fournette to move up from his current RB3 status. I’m not buying Rojo as the back to own in Tampa.

Don’t Waste Another Draft Pick on Joe Mixon

By Hot Karl Clemson

Full disclosure, this post has been written by someone who has never drafted Joe Mixon in fantasy football. This post is unbiased and is 100% based off facts. Enjoy!

Ah, the smell of summer! The smell of freshly cut grass, suntan lotion, the smell of BBQ chicken and burgers on the grill, and my personal favorite…the smell of bullshit regarding Joe Mixon’s fantasy value. We’ve heard it all before, “Joe Mixon is going to have a monster season!” Or even better, “Joe Mixon is going to finish as a top-5 running back in fantasy football!” We’ve been hearing these comments from so-called “fantasy experts” since 2018 and every year you gullible schmucks fall for it.

Now whether you are one of the fools who believes in Joe Mixon’s talents or you’re on team #NeverJoeMixon like myself, we all have to agree, Joe Mixon is one of the most polarizing players in fantasy football history. Now we’ve had a lot of flash in the pan talents throughout the course of NFL history, including a lot of players that fantasy football managers just can’t seem break up with. Guys such as Ryan Mathews, Roy Williams, Dwayne Bowe, C.J. Spiller, and Trent Richardson to name a few. And while all of these players experienced their share of “pre-season hype,” none of them came close to generating as much division amongst fantasy managers as Joe Mixon has.

So what’s the appeal of Joe Mixon? Why is everyone continuing to bank on his upside? And why do fantasy managers continue to draft Joe Mixon after multiple disappointing seasons? These are questions I’m going to elaborate on over the course of this post. But instead of looking at Mixon’s professional career as a whole, I’m going to dive into each year of his professional career individually, in the hopes of preventing at least one of you idiot Joe Mixon truthers from drafting him.

2017

Viewed as a first-round talent coming out of Oklahoma, Mixon fell to the second round of the 2017 NFL Draft thanks to major character concerns (2014 misdemeanor assault charges for punching/breaking a woman’s jaw). During his rookie campaign, Mixon split running back duties with the “Nard Dog” Giovani Bernard (which he would over the next 3 years) as well as Jeremy Hill (remember that guy) who started the first 7 games. In what would become a consistent problem in Cincinnati, the Bengals offensive line was graded as one of the worst in the league (28th), with 11 different offensive lineman taking snaps at some point. The Bengals finished 2017 with a 7-9 record while missing the playoffs completely.

Mixon finished his rookie campaign with 178 rushing attempts, 626 yards (3.5 YPC), 4 TDs, to go along with 30 receptions for 287 yards. While playing behind the same offensive line, Gio Bernard clearly outplayed Mixon in 2017, averaging 4.4 YPC, almost a full yard more than Mixon. In comparison to other rookie RB’s that year, Alvin Kamara, Kareem Hunt, Leonard Fournette, and Christian McCaffrey all eclipsed +1,000 total yards. Even Dalvin Cook who missed his final 12 games during his rookie season finished with a higher YPC (4.8) than Mixon.

2018

Entering his sophomore season, Joe Mixon found himself moving up draft boards, all the way up into the second round of most fantasy drafts. Fantasy experts and fans alike seemed fixated on the comparison of Joe Mixon to fantasy football MVP Le’Veon Bell at the time. Both backs were around the same size (6’1 220lbs), they both averaged 3.5 YPC during their rookie seasons, and they were both viewed to possess the same skill set as patient runners and reliable pass catchers.

The Bengals did attempt to fix their atrocious offensive line that offseason, with the additions of Cordy Glenn and Billy Price. Even with these additions however, Cincinnati’s offensive line finished as the 27th ranked offensive line according to Pro Football Focus. Despite the O-line struggles, Joe Mixon still finished with a career best 4.9 YPC, while putting together his first 1,000 yard rushing season. Mixon finished 2018 with 237 rushing attempts for 1,168 yards, as well as catching 43 passes for 296 yards, with 9 total TDs. Earning himself his very first (and only) top-10 RB finish, ranking #10 with 243 points in PPR leagues.

Looking back at the 2018 season, its easy to see why experts and fans fell in love with Joe Mixon. He was an ascending player who was coming off a career year, despite playing behind one of the worst offensive lines in football. Mixon was also able to put together a top-10 finish while missing 2 games due to an arthroscopic knee surgery. So I completely see the view point of fantasy analysts and fans who stated, “imagine what Mixon could do playing a full season.” And a full season is what we got the following year.

2019

Going into the 2019 season, fantasy sites and articles everywhere seemed to crown Joe Mixon as a “top-5 fantasy RB.” Throughout the summer, everyone was calling Mixon a second round value pick, which resulted in his draft stock rising into the late first round by August. The Bengals once again addressed the offensive line during the offseason, and they were getting back both A.J. Green and Andy Dalton who missed time in 2018. Prior to Dalton and Green’s season-ending injuries, the Bengals averaged 27.6 PPG while showcasing a 5-3 record. So there was a lot of optimism in Cincinnati entering 2019.

So how did Joe Mixon follow up his 2018 breakout season? Well for one, Mixon received the “workhorse” treatment, touching the ball a total of 313 times (278 rushes/35 receptions). But despite a larger workload and playing a full 16 games, Mixon finished with less rushing yards (1,137) and rushing TDs (5) while experiencing a YPC drop from 4.9 to a mediocre 4.1 YPC. Hell, the only statistic Mixon seemed to improve on in 2019 was an increase in receiving TDs, from 1 to 3. As for Mixon’s “top-5 fantasy RB” projected finish, Mixon dropped from the #10 fantasy RB in 2018 to #13 in 2019.

So what happened in 2019? Its no secret that the Bengals were a complete mess on both offense and defense. Rookie LT Jonah Williams experienced a season ending shoulder injury during OTA’s, A.J. Green missed all of 2019 after suffering an ankle injury during the first practice of training camp, and Andy Dalton was benched…and then un-benched. Due to injuries up front, the Bengal’s offensive line also regressed even more, finishing as the 30th ranked offensive line. But all of those things don’t excuse Joe Mixon just yet.

Based off of Pro Football Network’s “Offensive Share Metric”, which measures how responsible a player is for their own personal statistics, Joe Mixon finished with the 3rd lowest grade at the RB position in 2019. For those unfamiliar with this metric, it calculates YPC, efficiency rating, and the percentage that the opposing defense has 8 or more defenders in the box. So even with the loss of A.J. Green and Andy Dalton’s inconsistencies, Joe Mixon only faced a stacked box 7.91% of the time (3rd lowest in the NFL). Looking at the low percentage of stacked boxes Mixon faced, as well as his mediocre 4.1 YPC, its safe to say that Joe Mixon failed to create plays on his own. If you would like some visual evidence of Mixon’s inability to create plays, checkout a few plays from the 2020 season below.

2020

Although Joe Mixon didn’t live up to his 1st round ADP in 2019, the experts and Joe Mixon truthers were back hyping him up again last summer. This time around, the hype train centered around the addition of former LSU QB Joe Burrow. Now I agree, adding a mobile QB like Burrow is a huge improvement over the immobile Andy Dalton. I also agree that the ability of Burrow to make plays as both a passer and a rusher should open up running lanes for Joe Mixon. But if you’ve made it this far and you haven’t figured it out yet, Joe Mixon sucks.

Case in point, lets take a look at Mixon’s 2020 stats. Prior to Mixon’s week 6 Lisfranc (midfoot) sprain which put him on the shelf for the remainder of 2020, Mixon had 428 rushing yards on 119 attempts (3.6 YPC), 21 receptions for 138 yards, and 4 total TDs. An important thing to keep in mind when looking at Mixon’s 2020 stats, 151 rushing yards (6.0 YPC) and 3 TDs came during his week 4 meeting against a Jaguars defense that allowed the 3rd most rushing yards per game. If you take away that single blow up game vs Jacksonville, Mixon averaged 55.4 rushing yards per game (2.9 YPC) and scored 1 TD through 5 games. Not great, Bob!

2021

So here we are again, a new fantasy football season is upon us. And just as predictable as the sun rising in the morning, the Joe Mixon hype train is in full effect. Like previous summers, experts and fans are calling Mixon a “steal at his current 2nd round ADP.” This year, many are pointing at the departure of Giovani Bernard as the reasoning for Mixon to breakout as a “true workhorse” in 2021. Well I’m sorry to break the news to all of you Mixon truthers out there, but “Sleepy” Joe Mixon has been a workhorse the past two seasons! As stated above, Mixon saw 313 touches in 2019 (finished as the RB13) and averaged 23.3 touches per game in 2020. Seriously, are you guys banking on 30 touches a game for Mixon this year?

It also appears that the offensive line could be an area of concern yet again for the Bengals. Instead of shoring up the offensive line with Penei Sewell in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft, the Bengals went with playmaking wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase. Now while Chase will be an exciting player to watch alongside Joe Burrow, Chase isn’t going to be opening up many lanes for Mixon, who clearly needs help finding them. Now the Bengals did spend a 2nd round draft pick on Jackson Carman, and they also brought in Riley Reiff to play right tackle. So it remains to be seen what kind of impact they will have on both Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon.

Bottom line

So is Joe Mixon worth a 2nd or 3rd round pick this year in fantasy football? The answer is simple, absolutely not! The argument that Joe Mixon is an RB1 or that he is an absolute steal at his current ADP is laughable. Mixon has proved time and time…and time again that he’s not the “league winner” that certain experts or fans make him out to be. Not only has Joe Mixon’s talents regressed over the past two seasons, but he’s also been prone to injuries as well. Over the past 4 seasons, Mixon has dealt with a right midfoot sprain, a right knee injury which required arthroscopic surgery, a right ankle sprain (seriously, what’s up with the right side of this mans body), and a concussion. Now I’m not one to focus heavily on injury risk, as injuries come with the territory. But there comes a point where you just have to accept that some players are just made of glass.

In closing, do yourself a favor on draft day, take the best available player NOT named Joe Mixon. When Joe Mixon’s name does get called however, put your beer and draft sheets down, walk over and give your friend who just drafted him a hug.

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Offensive Share Metric:

Ellinas, Lucas. “Joe Mixon Provided Little Value to the Bengals in 2019.” Pro Football Network, http://www.profootballnetwork.com

The Fantasy Football Schmucks: July 2021 PPR Top 100

Image from thevikingage.com

Welcome to the first edition of The Fantasy Football Schmucks PPR Rankings for 2021. As we continue to move closer to football season, I will be updating these rankings throughout the summer, all the way up until the week of NFL Kickoff. As you read through these rankings, its important to remember that I’m not specifically telling you to draft these players where they are ranked. As you will find below, I have certain players ranked in the 20s-30s that are going in rounds 5 and 6 based off current ADP. These rankings are based on full point PPR leagues, starting one QB, and rewarding 6 points per TD.

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  1. Dalvin Cook: Surprise! Christian McCaffrey is not my top ranked fantasy player for 2021. Now while I fully expect Run CMC to finish as one of the top scoring players in the league, everything is setting up for Dalvin Cook to have a monster fantasy season in 2021. The Vikings spent free agency rebuilding their 27th ranked defense with the signings of Dalvin Tomlinson, Mackensie Alexander, Sheldon Richardson, and Patrick Peterson. Minnesota may have also gotten 2 big steals in the NFL Draft by landing LT Christian Darrisaw and G Wyatt Davis. While the jury is still out there to see how Darrisaw and Davis can adapt to the NFL level, they should be an immediate upgrade over what the Vikings had on the offensive line last season. So what does that all mean for Dalvin Cook? If Minnesota can get back to Mike Zimmer style football by running the ball and playing defense, the sky is the limit for Dalvin Cook to improve on his 1,900 total yards and 17 TD’s that he accumulated in just 14 games last season.
  2. Christian McCaffrey: The 2019 fantasy football MVP was limited to just three games last season, totaling 374 yards and 6 TD’s. When the 2021 season kicks off, Run CMC will be playing with his “best” passing quarterback yet after the New York Jets traded Sam Darnold to the Carolina Panthers. As long as Sam Darnold isn’t seeing ghosts anymore, the Panthers offense should be much more efficient this season. While I fully expect McCaffrey to pick up where he left off, I don’t expect him to repeat his 116/1,005/4 receiving line from 2019 with Robby Anderson, D.J. Moore, and Terrace Marshall Jr commanding targets in the passing game this season.
  3. Davante Adams: Let’s get this out of the way right now, this ranking is under the assumption that the Baaaaaaaaaaaaaaad Maaaaaaaaan Aaron Rodgers returns to Green Bay. Which as of early July, I believe Rodgers will be back under center for the Packers week 1. With Aaron Rodgers, Adams should be viewed as a top-5 fantasy pick. Despite missing 2 1/2 games last season due to injury, Adams still finished as the WR1 in fantasy, putting up a ridiculous 115/1,374/18. Like previous seasons, the Packers did very little to improve their WR core, meaning we should once again see plenty of Davante Adams. Without Rodgers though, Adams will most likely be moving out of my top 15.
  4. Alvin Kamara: The Drew Brees-less era is here and one thing to monitor throughout training camp is the quarterback competition between Taysom Hill and Jameis Winston. From a fantasy perspective, “Famous Jameis” would be the preferred quarterback for Alvin Kamara and his passing game involvement. Following Drew Bree’s rib injury, Kamara only caught 21 passes in the final 8 games of the season, with a majority of those starts going to Taysom Hill. Kamara has yet to top 1,000 rushing yards in a season, and his fantasy value relies heavily on his passing game volume and TD efficiency. If Jameis Winston wins the quarterback job, I would expect Kamara to continue to hit his 80 catch per year average.
  5. Derrick Henry: The “Big Dog” is coming off a monster 378/2,027/17 season and should once again be one of the first RBs taken in fantasy drafts this summer. The Titans lost a few key playmakers on offense this offseason with Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith leaving town. The addition of Julio Jones though could open things up even more for Henry on the ground. Expect another +300 touch, double digit TD season from the “Big Dog.”
  6. Travis Kelce: An every week fantasy difference maker, Kelce is coming off a historic 105/1,416/11 season. Those ridiculous numbers would have finished Kelce as the overall WR4, and that’s coming from the TE spot! With Patrick Mahomes at QB, Kelce has also been as consistent as they come with at least 1,200 yards in 3 straight seasons. I’m not afraid of an age 32 drop off.
  7. Nick Chubb: My pick for the 2021 rushing title, Nick Chubb finished with a rushing stat of 190/1,067/12 in 12 appearances last season. Everyone will be stuck on the notion that Nick Chubb doesn’t catch passes and that Kareem Hunt will be there to vulture touches. All of those points are true. However, not only is Nick Chubb one of the most efficient runners in football, he will also be playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. As for PPR leagues, Nick Chubb was one of the most consistent fantasy players when on the field. Topping double digit PPR points in 10 of 12 games last season.
  8. Ezekiel Elliot: Zeke is coming off a down season for which he only ran for 979 yards (career low 4.0 YPC) and 8 total TDs. A large chunk of the blame can go to the injury of Dak Prescott, as Zeke only scored two TDs down the stretch following Dak’s injury. With a healthy Dak under center, look for Zeke to return to his pro bowl form of over 1,200 rushing yards and double digit TDs.
  9. Saquon Barkley: Injuries have plagued the former Nittany Lion over the past few years, but Saquon is still one of the most talented running backs when he is healthy. And health will be a big focus this summer as Saquon works himself back from a season ending ACL tear that also included a mild MCL sprain and a partial tear of the meniscus. Yes, modern day medicine has done wonders for ACL tears, hell I was beating the drum for Adrian Peterson way back in 2012. But not every ACL rehab is the same, and I am stressing caution before moving Barkley up my rankings. When Saquon does return to the field this season though, the New York football Giants will look vastly different on offense. The additions of Kenny Golladay, John Ross, Kyle Rudolph, and Kadarius Toney should limit the stacked boxes Saquon experienced over his first three seasons. However, I don’t picture Barkley coming close to his career high of 91 receptions with the amount of receiver talent around him.
  10. Tyreek Hill: The “cheetah” is coming off a very productive 87/1,276/15 season, scoring double-digit PPR points in all but one game in 2020. In 2021, Hill will once again have the highest weekly ceilings among all wide receivers with Patrick Mahomes at Quarterback.
  11. Stefon Diggs: We finally saw what Stefon Diggs was capable of in a pass first offense, his 127/1,535/8 (328.6) PPR points came in 3rd behind only Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill. With strong armed Josh Allen at quarterback, Diggs should once again be among the league leaders in targets and receptions.
  12. Austin Ekeler: Fantasy football darling “Stunning Steve” Austin Ekeler was efficient when he was on the field last season, tallying 54 receptions, 933 total yards, and 3 TDs in 10 games. While he has never topped 600 yards on the ground, Ekeler could be in for a monster PPR season with former Saints OC Joe Lombardi joining the Chargers coaching staff. Lombardi had a hand in the success of a few running backs you might have heard of, such as Darren Sproles, Reggie Bush, and Alvin Kamara.
  13. Aaron Jones: Is the running back carousel finally over in Green Bay? The Packers let Jamaal Williams walk and made a huge four year, $48 million commitment to Aaron Jones this offseason. Now AJ Dillion and his monster calves are still lurking in the wings to steal touches, but Aaron Jones should still see plenty of opportunities in both the running and passing game. Throughout his four year career, Jones has been one of the most efficient runners in the league, with a career average of 5.2 YPC. With or without Rodgers, Aaron Jones is a top-10 running back this season.
  14. DeAndre Hopkins: Nuk Hopkins first season in the desert was a success, finishing as the WR4 with 115/1,407/6. The Cardinals went out and replaced aging veteran Larry Fitzgerald with aging veteran AJ Green this offseason. Still, Nuk should once again be heavily targeted in Kliff Kingsbury’s high powered passing attack. Expect Hopkins to return to scoring between 8-10 TDs.
  15. A.J. Brown: In 14 games last season, Brown put together 70/1,075/11 on 106 targets, which seems like nothing when compared to the WRs who finished above him. While the addition of Julio Jones puts a damper on Browns potential massive target share, Julio’s presence should make it impossible to double-team AJB.
  16. Calvin Ridley: Goodbye Julio Jones, hello Kyle Pitts! When the 2021 season kicks off, Calvin Ridley will be taking over WR1 duties for the Atlanta Falcons. Ridley is coming off his best season yet, posting 90/1,374/9 in 15 games last season. While Atlanta’s new offense with Kyle Pitts remains to be seen, in 7 games without Julio last season, Ridley posted a respectable 50/765/3 on 79 targets. Ridley should be viewed as a legitimate WR1 in 2021 and should be one of the most heavily targeted WR’s this season, with around 140-160 targets.
  17. D.K. Metcalf: Last year at this time, I predicted Metcalf to overtake Tyler Lockett as the Seahawks WR1. And boy, did Metcalf not disappoint! Metcalf is coming off a breakout 83/1,303/10 season. The big question lingering over Metcalf’s fantasy value this offseason, will Pete Carroll let Russ cook? After absolutely destroying Darius Slay in week 12, Metcalf cooled off down the stretch posting 30/360/3 over the final 6 games of the season.
  18. Antonio Gibson: Coming off an impressive rookie season, rushing for 795 yards and 11 TDs. Word coming out of OTA’s is that The Football Team wants to get Gibson more involved in the passing game, after catching just 36 balls last season. If Gibson can lead the ground game and eat into J.D. Mckissic’s passing game volume, A-Gib could turn into a steal on draft day.
  19. Darren Waller: Was an absolute beast last season and proved that 2019 was no fluke , posting 107/1,196/9 on 146 targets! Waller should once again see plenty of volume as the most reliable pass catcher on the Raider’s offense.
  20. Clyde Edwards-Helaire: CEH turned out to be a massive bust last season, thanks in part to the Chiefs horrible run blocking, splitting backfield work with Le’Veon Bell, and injuries down the stretch. CEH still quietly finished with 1,100 total yards and 5 TDs, but he did not live up to his 1st round ADP last summer. Going into 2021 fantasy drafts, CEH is currently a 3rd round value pick with league winning upside. Edwards-Helaire will have an improved offensive line in 2021, have little competition for RB touches, and happens to play on one of the most efficient offenses in the NFL. I expect CEH to have a lot better luck in goal line situations this season as well and will offer +10 TD upside. Not bad for someone going in the RB2 range.
  21. Jonathan Taylor: JT was a 2020 fantasy football league winner, compiling 741 rushing yards and 8 total TD’s over the last 6 games of the season. Jonathan Taylor “Thomas” is one of my prime busts candidates this season due to his limited passing game role behind Nyheim Hines, as well as the possibility of losing touches to the returning Marlon Mack. I just don’t see JT living up to his 1st round ADP.
  22. George Kittle: Was bound to see some regression last season, but injuries played a big factor in his 48/634/2 stat line, while only playing in 8 games. Kittle should still be viewed as a top-3 tight end whether Jimmy G or Trey Lance are under center. Targets may be harder to come by though, with Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel both fully healthy, but Kittle should definitely top his career high 5 TDs.
  23. Keenan Allen: After being tagged as “injury prone” during his first few seasons, Keenan Allen missed his first game in over 3 years, playing in just 14 games last season. In those 14 games though, he was phenomenal with rookie sensation Justin Herbert, finishing with 100/992/8. Keenan Allen should once again be a target hog, and should be viewed as a low-end WR1 in PPR leagues.
  24. Cooper Kupp: Going way under-drafted right now, Kupp is coming off back-to-back +90 catch seasons with Jared Fricken Goff! Don’t forget, Kupp was a legit WR1 in 2019. Yes, Kupp is coming off a career low 3 TDs, but he should instantly become one of Matthew Stafford’s favorite targets in LA. With the massive improvement at QB, I’m projecting Kupp to finish with 95/1,200/11.
  25. Michael Thomas: My favorite draft value in 2021! Michael Thomas will be falling down draft boards drastically after burning fantasy owners last season (40/438/0 TDs in 7 games). But the Saints literally have no one else in the passing game outside of Alvin Kamara. Now while Thomas might see his catch percentage take a huge hit this season, Thomas should be locked in for +140 targets. And if you’re worried about his quarterback play, don’t be. Thomas was very solid in his outings with Taysom Hill last season, catching 30/343/0 in 4 games. While there has been talk about Winston’s inaccuracy on slant routes, “Famous Jameis” is well known for staring down and getting the ball to….or around the hands of his targets. Michael Thomas could be the steal of all fantasy drafts this season!
  26. Allen Robinson: What Allen Robinson has been able to do with crappy quarterbacks is a true test to how how great A-Rob has been through his 7 year career. A-Rob has topped +90 catches and over 1,000 yards in each of the last two seasons. Hopefully this Andy Dalton show will be short lived and Justin Fields can come in and finally send Allen Robinson to the moon!
  27. Terry McLaurin: Scary Terry should benefit massively with the addition of gunslinger Ryan Fitzmagic at quarterback. McLaurin is coming off a solid 87/1,118/4 season, even with the inaccurate Dwayne Haskins and Alex Smith passing the football. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been up and down throughout his career, but he has also been responsible for huge fantasy seasons from the likes of DaVante Parker and Brandon Marshall.
  28. Amari Cooper: Started 2020 on a warpath, putting together a 37/401/1 stat line in his first 4 games with Dak Prescott last season. Cooper finished 2020 with a career high in catches (92) for 1,114 yards and 5 TDs. I still don’t believe the Cowboys defense will be that improved (lots of shootouts baby) and I feel like CeeDee Lamb is still a year away from overtaking Coop as the Cowboys WR1. Coopers recent ankle surgery is going to be one to monitor throughout training camp, but if all signs point towards him being healthy by week 1, Cooper is a great value pick in the late 3rd-4th rounds.
  29. Justin Jefferson: All Justin Jefferson did last season was break the rookie WR record for receiving yards, finishing with 88 catches, 1,400 yards, and 7 TDs. My personal feeling is that “the jet” will be drafted too high in fantasy drafts this summer. I love the talent, but I see regression coming based off of Minnesota’s improving defense and its run-first offense. I see Jefferson finishing around 75-85 catches, 1,100 yards, and 7-9 TDs. Currently going off the boards in the 2nd-3rd rounds, I’d rather wait and take Adam Thielen in the 4th-5th round.
  30. Robert Woods: Has seen at least 129 targets the past three seasons and has hit 90 receptions in back-to-back years. Moving on from Jared Goff to Matthew Stafford should do wonders for Woods and I would expect Woods to top his career high 6 TDs this season. Woods is locked in as one of my favorite WR2 plays this season.
  31. Chris Carson: What’s keeping Chris Carson from jumping up higher on this list is his inability to play a full season. Through 4 seasons, Carson has played 4 games, 14 games, 15 games, and 12 games last season. We all know that Pete Carroll wants to run the ball, and prior to last season Carson put together back-to-back +1,000 yard/9 TD seasons. Carson is a solid RB2 with low end RB1 upside if he can stay healthy.
  32. J.K. Dobbins: The former Ohio State Buckeye picked up some steam down the stretch last season, finishing his rookie season with 925 total yards, 9 TDs, while averaging a ridiculous 6.0 YPC. Dobbins is best viewed as an RB2 thanks to the presence of the “Gus Bus” and the Ravens commitment to RB by committee. There has been “coach talk” this summer about increasing Dobbins role in the passing game, which would be massive for Dobbins fantasy value.
  33. Najee Harris: My personal opinion is that Najee Harris will be way over drafted this season. Yes, Harris was a stud at Alabama (2,690 yards and 39 total TDs over his junior & senior seasons.) Harris also has the size (6’2 230lbs), but my overall concern lies with the Steelers offensive line. Pittsburgh’s O-line was absolute trash last season, and the loss of David Decastro is a huge blow to what appears to be an even worse group of talent up front. With that in mind, I’m not touching Harris at his ADP.
  34. Kyle Pitts: Everyone knows that rookie tight ends struggle adapting to the NFL, so its a good thing Kyle Pitts is not your prototypical tight end. Pitts is a 6’6 240lb offensive weapon who ran a 4.44 at his pro day. With the Falcons trading Julio Jones this offseason, Pitts will be walking into an ATL offense that has 213 targets available for the taking. After the big-3 go off the board, I would be perfectly fine taking a shot at Kyle Pitts as early as the 4th round in fantasy drafts. I believe his upside is that high.
  35. Patrick Mahomes: Will once again be one of the first quarterbacks taken in fantasy drafts this summer. Mahomes has thrown over +35 TDs and +4,700 yards in 2 of 3 seasons. While its great to have consistency at QB, I personally prefer to wait when drafting QBs. Mahomes finished as the QB3 last season, which was only 26 more points than Tom Brady, who finised as the overall QB7. And Brady was someone you could have drafted 5-7 rounds after Mahomes! Case in point, wait on QBs people!
  36. Josh Allen: Coming off a breakout 4,544 passing yards, 421 rushing yards, and 45 total TD season. With the addition of Emmanuel Sanders to line up alongside Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley, you could argue that Allen has the best WR options in the NFL. Allen saw an increase of 111 passing attempts in 2020 and should once again be one of the most pass heaviest QBs in 2021.
  37. Adam Thielen: Going waaaaaaaay under-drafted this summer, Adam Thielen is becoming the forgotten man after Justin Jefferson’s break out in 2020. Thielen is also coming off a very good 2020 season, setting a career high in TDs (14). While I do expect some TD regression from Thielen this season, I don’t expect a huge amount of regression. Thielen has shown a strong chemistry with Kirky, especially in the redzone. I’m projecting around 70-80 catches, 1,000 yards, and 10-12 TDs. Don’t be that idiot on draft day that forgets about Adam Thielen.
  38. CeeDee Lamb: The CeeDee Lamb hype train is in full effect this summer as many are hoping for a second year leap from the former Oklahoma Sooner. Lamb finished a strong rookie season with 74/935/5 and was putting up solid WR2 numbers in PPR leagues through his first four games with Dak Prescott (21/309/2). Lamb has reportedly been lining up all over the formation this offseason and offers WR2 upside in Dallas’s high powered passing game.
  39. T.J. Hockenson: The 3rd year TE is coming off his best season yet, finishing with 67/723/6. Entering 2021, the Detroit Lions have HUGE questions marks in the passing game. With Matthew Stafford, Kenny Golladay, and Marvin Jones all gone. Enter Jared Goff, Breshad Perriman, and Tyrell Williams. Both Perriman and Williams have shown flashes in the past, but mainly in the deep passing game. Combine that with Jared Goff’s comfort level with short/intermediate passing routes, Hockenson could be on the verge of a massive breakout season.
  40. Myles Gaskin: The “Gas Man” might have been one of the biggest winners this offseason as the Dolphins failed to address the running game, outside of adding TD vulture Malcolm Brown. Gaskin should remain the primary ball carrier and passing game back after tallying 972 total yards, 5 total TDs, along with 41 receptions in 10 games last season. I absolutely love Gaskin as an RB2 this season.
  41. D’Andre Swift: Showed flashes last season, averaging 4.6 YPC, 878 total yards, and 10 total TDs in his 13 appearances last season. Swifts fantasy value took a hit this offseason with the addition of Jamaal Williams, who is a larger back compared to Swift, as well as an established pass catcher. I personally feel many in the fantasy football community are overlooking the Jamaal Williams signing. Having Jared Goff as your QB doesn’t help either.
  42. Joe Mixon: One of my favorite debates on fantasy twitter! Every year I feel like I am not ranking Mixon low enough. Truth is, with the Nard Dog leaving for Tampa, Mixon should take over as a true workhorse in the Bengal’s backfield. Will he be able to have success though? I’m not banking on it. Mixon played in just 6 games last season, putting together a pathetic 3.6 YPC. Joe Burrow and the Bengals passing game will keep the offense fun to watch, but I don’t believe the Bengals did enough to improve the offensive line to benefit Mixon this season.
  43. Cam Akers: After starting his rookie campaign off very slowly thanks to a rib injury, along with splitting work with Darrell Henderson and Malcolm Brown, Akers finished strong down the stretch with 645 rushing yards and 4 TDs over his final 7 games. While Sean McVay’s word is hard to trust, McVay called Akers “an every-down back,” this offseason. I just can’t trust McVay and I think Akers will share more work with Darrell Henderson than people expect.
  44. Miles Sanders: Missed four games last season, finishing with 1,064 total yards and 6 TDs. Having a mobile quarterback in Jalen Hurts is always a plus for running backs, but Sanders could lose some passing down work to 5th round rookie Kenny Gainwell.
  45. Julio Jones: Currently 100% healthy, Julio Jones gets a change of scenery this season as he will be ditching Matty Ice for Ryan Tannehill. Julio gets a lot of grief for getting injured, but prior to only playing 9 games last season, Julio has played at least 14 games dating back to the 2013. Julio is 32 this season, and while his best days may be behind him, I picture Julio finishing with around 65-75 catches, 1,050 yards, and 6-8 TDs. Making him a solid WR2 capable of having a few game winning weeks.
  46. Tyler Lockett: As I predicted last year in these rankings, DK Metcalf overtook Lockett as the WR1 in Seattle. However, Lockett still put together a solid 100/1,054/10 season, finishing as the WR8 in PPR. Lockett’s current 5th/6th round ADP reflects Pete Carroll’s commitment to the run game as well as Lockett’s role fading down the stretch. While Lockett possesses week winning upside, he had 7 games where he didn’t even score double digits in PPR. That’s literally almost half a season where he scored under 10 points! Lockett is best suited as your WR2 and is a steal at his current 6th round ADP.
  47. Chris Godwin: I was spot on with my 2019 projection for Godwin, and it makes me even happier that I was spot on with his 2020 regression. Godwin was on my “do not draft” list last season as his ADP was just too damn high. This season, his ADP is dropping into the 4th-5th rounds, which is where he should be. With the endless options in the Bucs passing game, Godwin is just going to be too inconsistent for my liking. I view Godwin as a high-end WR3 with WR2 weekly upside.
  48. Mike Evans: Has yet to finish with less than 1,000 receiving yards in each of his 7 NFL seasons. While his 70 receptions were lacking in PPR leagues, Evans made up for his lack of targets by scoring 13 times last season. With too many mouths to feed in the Tampa Bay offense, I would expect 60-70 catches, 1,000 yards, and 8-10 TDs for Big Mike.
  49. Dak Prescott: Was on his way to having a career year (1,856 passing yards and 12 total TDs) prior to his week 5 ankle injury last season. All signs point to Dak making a full recovery by the time week 1 kicks off and Dak will once again be surrounded by a plethora of receiving options. With shootouts looking to be on the menu again in Big D, look for Dak to make a strong push to finish as a top-3 QB this season.
  50. Kyler Murray: Finished as the QB5 last season, with just under 4,000 passing yards, 819 rushing yards, and 37 total TDs. Will the addition of AJ Green move Murray up into the top 3 QBs? I don’t believe so.
  51. Justin Herbert: The 2020 Offensive ROY is coming off a record setting season, with 31 passing TDs (36 total) and 4,336 passing yards, finishing just 38 yards shy of Andrew Lucks rookie record. The Chargers are switching to a more up-tempo offense this season, which should play into Herbert’s strengths from his days at Oregon. A top-5 QB finish is definitely within reach.
  52. Lamar Jackson: Averaged a measly 183.8 passing yards per game last season, luckily Lamar is coming off back-to-back +1,000 yard rushing seasons. In 2021 Lamar “should” take a step forward as a passer with an improved receiving core featuring Hollywood Brown, Mark Andrews, Sammy Watkins, and rookie Rashod Bateman.
  53. Leonard Fournette: Lombardi Lenny was unleashed during the Bucs Super Bowl run, tallying 448 total yards, 18 receptions, and 4 total TDs in 4 playoff appearances. The Bucs did bring in receiving back Giovani Bernard this offseason, but Arians claims that this is still Lenny’s and Rojo’s backfield. View Fournette as a low-end RB2 with 10+ TD upside.
  54. Mike Davis: Stepping up for fantasy owners after Christian McCaffrey went down, Mike Davis put up his best Run CMC impression with 1,015 total yards, 59 receptions, and 8 total TDs. This offseason Mike Davis and his tree trunk like quads landed in Hotlanta, where the Falcons have over 300 running back touches up for grabs. I’m not afraid of the Falcons adding another veteran RB, Davis is an RB2 and is the back to own in Atl.
  55. Josh Jacobs: Coming off back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons, Jacobs lost a lot of fantasy value when the Raiders signed Kenyan Drake. Jacobs will remain the primary early down back and retain goal line duties as Kenyan Drake looks to be featured on 3rd downs.
  56. James Robinson: The waiver wire hero last season, Robinson had about as good as a season as an undrafted free agent could, totaling 1,414 yards and 10 total TDs. Robinson would be ranked much higher if it wasn’t for the Jaguars drafting Travis Etienne with the 25th pick in the 2021 NFL draft. Early reports indicate that Etienne has been working primarily as receiver, which could limit Robinson’s upside in PPR formats.
  57. David Montgomery: Talk about a league winner last season, David Montgomery was an absolute stud down the stretch, finishing with 824 total yards and 8 TDs over the last 6 games of the 2021 season. Mont’s 2021 fantasy value took a massive hit this offseason with the addition of passing game back Damien Williams to go a long with the return Tarik Cohen. Do not expect Mont to top 50 catches again this season.
  58. Kareem Hunt: The Robin to Nick Chubb’s Batman, Kareem was a viable RB2 last season, finishing with 1,145 total yards and 11 TDs. With the monster season I’m expecting out of Chubb, view Hunt as a low-end RB2/flex in PPR leagues.
  59. Robby Anderson: One of my favorite value picks in fantasy drafts, Robby Anderson is coming off a very productive 95/1,096/3 season with Teddy Bridgewater throwing the football. In 2021, Robby will reconnect with Sam Darnold whom he caught 88/1,353/11 during their time in New York. Robby Anderson is a lock as a WR3 and has WR2 upside with strong-armed Sam Darnold, along with a little better TD luck.
  60. D.J. Moore: Coming off back-to-back +1,000 yard/4 TD seasons, D.J. “Moore of that please” is coming off a career high 18.1 YPC. It would be nice to see him score Moore TDs with Sam Darnold.
  61. Kenny Golladay: The New York Giants suddenly have offensive weapons all over the field. With only one ball to go around, along with the big question mark of Danny Dimes, I view Golladay more as a WR3 option. I’m expecting Golladay to catch around 60-65 passes, flirt with 1,000 yards, and 5-7 TDs.
  62. Mark Andrews: Last seasons 58/701/7 may be Andrews new ceiling as the Ravens added Rashod Bateman and Sammy Watkins to beef up the Ravens receiving core this offseason. I’m not as excited about Andrews as I use to be.
  63. Ja’Marr Chase: Prior to opting out his junior year in 2020, Chase led the nation in receiving yards (1,780) and TDs (20) while catching passes from Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow. The Bengals already have established pass catchers in Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins, but the departure of AJ Green frees up 104 targets. Due to his already established rapport with Joe Burrow, as well as the Bengals pass-happy offense, Ja’Marr Chase could instantly return WR3 value.
  64. Tee Higgins: The Bengals spent a high draft pick on Ja’Marr Chase this offseason, but Tee Higgins has been the talk of OTA’s. Higgins is coming off a very productive 67/908/6 season, and that’s with Joe Burrow only starting 10 games. Higgins will have to compete for targets alongside Boyd and Chase, limiting his upside.
  65. Diontae Johnson: Lead the Steelers with 144 targets last season, finishing with 88/923/7 in 15 games. The return of Juju as well as the emphasis on fixing the running game with Najee Harris could put a damper on Diontae’s target volume, especially in the short passing game.
  66. Odell Beckham Jr: On pace to be a full-go at training camp, OBJ lacks the volume and upside on the Brown’s run first offense. In 7 games last season, OBJ only had 23 receptions, 319 yards, and 4 total TDs. On name value alone, OBJ will probably be drafted in the WR2 range. But I view him as a WR3 entering this season.
  67. Tyler Boyd: Cooled off down the stretch last season, after averaging 16 PPR points per game with Joe Burrow at QB. Should remain a solid WR3 option as he competes for targets in the Bengals passing attack.
  68. Russell Wilson: Last seasons QB4, Mr. Unlimited faded down the stretch as the Seahawks offense went from “let Russ cook” to “let Russ simmer.” Reports coming out of OTA’s is that the Seahawks offense will be more “up-tempo” this season, which would be welcoming news for the entire Seahawks passing game.
  69. Tom Brady: The GOAT finished as the overall QB7 last season, passing for 4,633 yards and 43 total TDs. The big question entering Tom Brady’s soon to be age 44 season is, “will father time finally catch up with the GOAT?” The good news for Brady is that the band will remain together for at least 1 more season. With weapons all over the field and another year to grasp Tampa’s offense, Brady could be looking at another monster season as he chases ring number 8.
  70. Aaron Rodgers: Its kind of wild not yet knowing where or if the 2020 NFL MVP will be playing this season. If Rodgers does play (which I think he will be under center for GB week 1), I expect the “BAAAAAAAAAAAAD MAAAAAAAAAAAAN” to once again play with a chip on his shoulder. The things Rodgers could do with those weapons in Denver is mouth watering though.
  71. Dallas Goedert: Dallas Goedert’s career high of 87 targets (2019) would see a really nice bump if/when Zach Ertz is traded. The big man out of South Dakota State should set career highs in catches, yards, and TDs in 2021.
  72. Travis Etienne: Will begin the year as the primary 3rd down back for a Jaguars offense that could find themselves chasing points most weeks. Coming out of Clemson, Pro Football Focus graded Etienne as the best pass catching back in the 2021 draft after catching 85 passes between his junior and senior seasons. While James Robinson should handle early down and goal line duties, Etienne should still get plenty of work.
  73. Javonte Williams: Should enter the 2021 season splitting carries with Melvin Gordon, but Williams should have every opportunity to carve out a larger roll in the Bronco’s backfield. At North Carolina, Williams ranked 6th in the nation with 1,140 yards (7.3 YPC), as well as scoring 19 TDs.
  74. Chase Edmonds: For the 3rd year in a row, the Cardinals will enter the season with a new RB or RB’s atop the depth chart. Edmonds is expected to split work with newly acquired James Conner, with Conner expected to take over goal line work. Edmonds should be viewed as the back to own, with the possibility to take over the workhorse role if/when Conner gets hurt.
  75. DeVonta Smith: The former Heisman winner set records all across the board, Alabama’s school record for catches (235), SEC records for receiving yards (3,965) & receiving TDs (46), and lead the nation in 2020 on receiving yards on screen plays (304). Smith is a big play waiting to happen and should have every opportunity to establish himself as the WR1 for the Eagles.
  76. Courtland Sutton: After tearing his ACL in week 2 of the 2020 season, Sutton should be ready to roll for training camp. Sutton was taken in the 4th round in many fantasy drafts last summer and should be a value pick in 2021 based off his current ADP. Sutton is only 2 years removed from going 72/1,112/6 and could see an upgrade at QB this season with Teddy Bridgewater.
  77. D.J. Chark: Another WR falling down draft boards after posting a disappointing 53/706/5 in 13 games last season. People are quick to forget, but Chark is 2 years removed from a 73/1,008/8 season with Nick fricken Foles and Gardner Minshew at QB. Chark has reportedly bulked up 10lbs and will have a huge upgrade at QB with Trevor Lawrence arriving in Duval county.
  78. Brandon Aiyuk: With Kittle and Deebo Samuel missing time last season, Aiyuk was able to see plenty of volume down the stretch, putting together 60/748/5 on 96 targets, as well as 2 rushing scores. With the 49ers receiving options currently healthy, I view Aiyuk as a low-end WR3 option entering 2021.
  79. Chase Claypool: Coming off a breakout 62/873/9, as well as scoring an additional two TDs in the Steelers Wildcard loss to the Browns. With the return of Juju Smith-Schuster, Claypool should be viewed as a boom or bust WR3.
  80. Mike Williams: Big Mike Williams enters a contract year in 2021. Throughout his 4 year career, Williams has had some success, however he has never been able to put it all together in the same season. With former New Orleans Saints offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi taking over duties in LA, Williams is expected to play the X receiver spot (aka Michael Thomas role). Williams already has a 1,000 yard season and a 10 TD season under his belt. So if he can put it all together in 2021, he is going to be a huge steal on draft day.
  81. Logan Thomas: Broke out in 2020, with 72 receptions, 670 yards, and 6 TDs. Thomas should benefit a ton from Ryan Fitzpatrick’s gunslinger mentality.
  82. Ryan Tannehill: Even with the Titans offense literally running through Derrick Henry, Tannehill was still able to set a career high with 40 total TDs (7 rushing) while finishing as the QB8 in fantasy last season. While I personally dislike the loss of Jonnu Smith, pairing Julio Jones with A.J. Brown is going to give defensive coordinators nightmares in 2021.
  83. Matthew Stafford: The “staph infection” ditched the Motor City for the bright lights of Hollywood this offseason. A fresh start in LA could be exactly what Stafford needs, as the last time Stafford has eclipsed +30 TDs was way back in 2015. With the Rams, Stafford should benefit from Sean McVay’s play calling as well as the underrated receiving core of Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. I like Stafford as a low-end QB1 who could finish somewhere between QB5-QB9.
  84. Joe Burrow: The former #1 overall pick was off to an ok start in 2020 (2,688 yards & 16 TDs in 10 games) before tearing his ACL & MCL in week 11. According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, Burrow will reportedly be “all systems go” for week 1, which would only be 10 months removed from injury. Many in fantasy circles have Burrow penciled in for a sophomore breakout as he will have some serious weapons at WR in Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, and former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase. It remains to be seen how both Burrow’s knee and the Bengals offensive line will hold up this season.
  85. Jalen Hurts: The former Sooner started 4 games last season, and while his passing numbers weren’t great (52% completion) his versatility as a runner (354 yards & 3TDs) sets Hurts up as a low-end QB1 this season.
  86. Gus Edwards: The Ravens front office made it a point this offseason to bring back the “Gus Bus” on a 2 year $10 million contract extension. While Edwards will be in a committee with second year back J.K. Dobbins, the Gus Bus will have some stand alone value as a RB3 with upside in Baltimore’s run-heavy offense. Throughout his 3 year career, Edwards has averaged 5.2 YPC and is coming off a career high in yards (723) and TDs (6).
  87. A.J. Dillon: Enters 2021 as the primary backup to Aaron Jones. Throughout his 4 year career, Aaron Jones has only played a full 16 game season once, missing a total of 10 games over that span. A.J. Dillon should be viewed as one of the top RB handcuffs in fantasy football, and has league winning upside if Aaron Jones were to miss extensive time.
  88. Juju Smith-Schuster: With the Steelers struggles in the running game last season, Juju soaked up a ton of underneath routes, finishing with 97/831/9. His 8.6 YPC in 2020 was a career low, but a possible move outside this season could open things up for Juju downfield.
  89. Michael Gallup: Experienced a dip in production last season (59/843/5) but much of that can be attributed to the ascension of CeeDee Lamb, as well as the injury to Dak Prescott. Gallup enters a contract year and has reportedly been lining up both on the perimeter and in the slot, which could lead to more mismatches as well as a higher weekly floor.
  90. Antonio Brown: AB finished with 45/483/4 in 8 regular season games with the Bucs, while also scoring 2 TDs in the postseason. Not going to lie, Brown is my favorite Bucs WR in redraft as he presents the best overall value. To begin the season, Brown should best be viewed as a WR3/4 with WR2 upside if something were to happen to Evans or Godwin.
  91. Melvin Gordon: Fantasy stock took a major hit when the Broncos traded up in the second round of the NFL draft for Javonte Williams. Gordon’s best fantasy trait is his nose for the endzone, as he has scored at least 9 TDs in each of the past 5 seasons.
  92. Zack Moss: There has been talk of Moss possibly taking over as the 1A in Buffalo’s backfield. Moss was pretty unimpressive in year one, totaling 576 yards and 5 TDs in 13 games last season. Continue to monitor throughout training camp.
  93. Ronald Jones: Will once again be splitting work with Uncle/Lombardi Lenny. Rojo has less value in PPR leagues and would need an injury to Fournette to move up from his current RB3 status.
  94. Jerry Jeudy: Showed flashes during his rookie season, catching 52 passes for 856 yards and 3 TDs. Jeudy’s rookie season could have been much more though, but the combination of Drew Lock being Drew Lock along with Jeudy’s 12 drops resulted in a so-so debut. Reports out of OTA’s is that Teddy Bridgewater was locked in on Jerry Jeudy, which could bold well for a second year breakout.
  95. Corey Davis: Will take over the WR1 role for the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets! The New York Jets was a fantasy wasteland under Adam Gase, hopefully the arrivals of Mike LaFleur and Zach Wilson can provide a much needed boost to gang greens offense.
  96. Brandin Cooks: I may avoid the Texans all-together this season, but Brandin Cooks could be a target monster on a team that will be chasing points every week.
  97. Noah Fant: Progressed in year two, finishing with 62/673/3 in 15 games. With Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick, and the returning Courtland Sutton competing for targets, I’m not expecting a massive leap from Fant this season. 50-60 catches, 600 yards, and 5-6 TDs seems within reach.
  98. Raheem Mostert: Coming off a career low 5.0 YPC… seriously feed this man Shanahan! For now Mostert is locked in as the “lead back” for the 49ers, but Wayne Gallman and rookies Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell are also in the pecking order for touches. I personally view Mostert and the rest of the 9ers backfield as better DFS plays over season long.
  99. Will Fuller: Landing in Miami is not ideal for Fuller, especially when you think about the combination of the Florida humidity along with Fullers hamstrings that are made of rubber bands. All jokes aside, I’m not a fan of his landing spot with Tua. I view Fuller as a better play in best ball or as a DFS flier.
  100. Hunter Henry: Will be competing with Jonnu Smith for TE targets, whether they are from Cam Newton or Mac Jones remains to be seen. The Patriots lack elite pass catchers at WR, so there is potential for Henry to finish with career highs in receiving yards and TDs. Beware, the man is made of glass.

NFL Week 4: DraftKings Start ‘Em

Happy Will Fuller week!

After an injury filled/Derrick Henry busting week 2, I was able to bounce back and cash out with most of my lineups in week 3. Thanks in part to a few of my week 3 locks: Wilson, Lockett, and Metcalf. As well as the squeaky wheel getting the grease, Allen Robinson putting up 31.3 DK points (thanks “Big Dick” Nick!). While my wide receivers carried my lineups, my running backs were lackluster at best. Although Miles Sanders didn’t kill me with his 14.7 DK points, he didn’t blow up as I expected. And where the hell are you at Kenyan Drake!

QB’s I’m starting this week:

Russell Wilson ($7,800): With a whopping 14 TD’s and averaging 36.3 DK points in 3 weeks, everyone is smelling what the Russ is cookin! Next up on the Russell Wilson for MVP tour is a trip to South Beach, where he should have no problems carving up a Dolphins secondary that is giving up the 4th most fantasy points to QB’s. $7,800 for a QB is a lot this week, but you should at least get some exposure to Wilson in your lineups.

Deshaun Watson ($6,600): Coming into week 4, Watson is averaging just 18.5 DK points a game. After a brutal opening schedule against KC, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh, Watson draws a juicy home matchup against the “not so purple people eaters” from Minnesota. The Vikings are giving up 292 passing yards a game and will also be without corner Mike Hughes in this one. With an o/u of 53.5 as of writing, this will be one of my favorite games to stack on the slate.

Matthew Stafford ($5,900): Coming off back-to-back two TD performances, the “staph infection” faces a Marshon Lattimore/Janoris Jenkins-less Saints secondary. This game currently has an o/u of 54.5, and while I would prefer Michael Thomas to be playing this week to hit the over, this game still has shootout potential.

Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,400): With a price of $5,400, Fitzmagic is a free square this week. This game has shootout potential with a 53.5 o/u and the Seahawks already burnable secondary will be without Jamal Adams. Game script should also be a factor for Fitzmagic, as nobody is projecting the Fish to have a big lead in this one.

RB’s I’m starting this week:

Alvin Kamara ($8,000): If Kamara is not the first person you put into your lineup this week, you should probably give up DFS. With Drew Bree’s unable to throw the ball further than 15 yards and checking down more than Kirk Cousins and Carson Wentz combined, Alvin Kamara is a lock for 10 receptions this week. Without Michael Thomas and a banged up Saints secondary, the Saints could very well find themselves playing from behind once again. So yea, Kamara will once again be busy through the air.

Dalvin Cook ($7,600): The Vikings finally featured Cook last week, leading to 22 rushing attempts for 181 yards and 1 TD. The Texans have been vulnerable on the ground this season, and just gave up 109 yards and a TD to a less talented James Conner. So I expect Cook to be cooking once again this week, in what should be one of the highest point totals on the week.

James Robinson ($6,500): I will admit that I was one of the people doubting James Robinson following the trade of Leonard Fournette. What has Robinson done in the first 3 weeks? He’s reached double digit points in every game and has put up 250 scrimmage yards and 3 TD’s over the past two weeks. This week Robinson faces a Bengals defense that is allowing 181 rushing yards per game and will once again be without Geno Atkins.

Kenyan Drake ($6,000): Going back to the well one more time! Yes, Drake was a massive let down last week. But if Drake doesn’t break out against a horrendous Panthers run D, he never will. The Arizona WR core is also very banged up and could be without Nuk Hopkins this week. So I expect the Cardinals to be more run heavy than previous weeks.

Darrell Henderson ($5,800): With preseason favorite Cam Akers out again this week, Henderson should once again receive a bulk of the load in a very favorable matchup against the New York Football Giants. Henderson has topped 120 yards and a TD in back-to-back games and should see plenty of touches as the Rams should have a commanding lead this week. The only thing preventing Henderson from having a top 5 week is Sean McVay giving redzone touches to Malcolm Brown.

Ronald Jones ($4,700): If you’re looking to spend up elsewhere, RJ is a great play this week under 5K. With Leonard Fournette out this week, RJ should get 15-20 touches and will have a great opportunity to hit the 100 yard bonus. Always a threat to fall into the end zone with Tom Brady under center, I like RJ’s chances to score 15-20 DK points.

WR’s I’m starting this week:

Tyler Lockett ($7,000) and D.K. Metcalf ($6,800): With Hopkins and Thomas banged up, and the KC game being postponed, Lockett and Metcalf look to be the highest priced WR’s on this slate. Both WR’s are averaging over 20 DK points a game and are seeing consistent target shares in weekly shootouts. If I could choose only one this week, I would roll with Lockett.

Amari Cooper ($6,700): I probably won’t have many shares of Cooper this week, but after going 3 weeks without scoring a TD, Cooper is DUE this week. The Browns secondary is all kinds of banged up, and Cooper usually performs best at Jerry’s world.

Adam Thielen ($6,600) and Justin Jefferson ($5,200): Adam Thielen was over-shadowed last week by Justin Jefferson’s coming out party 7/175/1. While Jefferson is the value play, I do like Thielen to bounce back in one of week 4’s highest scoring games. I also expect Thielen to be lower owned this week due to recency bias.

Mike Evans ($6,400): The Buccaneers will once again be without Chris Godwin in their lineup this week. In week 2, Mike Evans was targeted 10 times and was able to put up 7/104/1 with Godwin on the sidelines. Although the Chargers secondary is one of the stingiest secondary’s in the league (6.6 yards per attempt), Evans should once again see tons of volume and is always a threat to score.

Kenny Golladay ($6,000) and Marvin Jones ($4,900): One of my favorite stacks of the week is Stafford, Golladay, and “Starvin’ Marvin” Jones. With one of the highest o/u on the week, along with a very banged up Saints secondary that will be missing Lattimore and Jenkins, the Saints will have no answer for the Lions aerial attack. Jones has been quiet for 3 weeks, so it just feels like one of those Marvin Jones games.

Will Fuller ($5,900) and Brandin Cooks ($4,500): While it wasn’t the best way to get here, happy Will Fuller week everyone! Fuller provided us with a midweek hamstring scare (seriously has the worst hamstrings in the history of sports), but all signs point to him being good to go Sunday against an atrocious Vikings secondary. I am going to live and die with ol’ Willie this week as this could be one of those massive blow up weeks we’ve been waiting for. On a cheaper side, Cooks also has a great matchup in a game I fully expect to hit its 53.5 o/u.

DeVante Parker ($5,700): Averaging 12.3 DK points and should be in play throughout the game as the Fins should be chasing points. I like Parkers chances to hit the 100 yard bonus with 1 TD as the Seahawks have given up a ton to WR’s through 3 weeks.

Jarvis Landry ($5,100): The Juice has not been loose to start the season as Landry has just combined for 12/143 through 3 weeks. Landry is my “squeaky wheel getting the grease” play of week 4 as he has a great matchup against a Cowboys secondary that has been getting shredded by #2/slot WR’s (Ridley 7/109/2 & Lockett 9/100/3). The Browns should also be more pass heavy this week as they are 4.5 underdogs with a 55.5 o/u.

TE’s I’m starting this week: Only starting two!

Mike Gesicki ($5,100): Averaging 14.8 DK points the first 3 weeks, Gesicki is in a prime smash spot against a soft Seattle secondary that will be without Jamal Adams. Gesicki also lines up in the slot most of the time, where the Seahawks have been abused (Gage 12/114, Edelman 8/179, Lamb 5/65). I have zero fears this regarding Gesicki’s week 3 usage (1/15/1) as the Fish should be playing catchup this week.

Rob Gronkowski ($3,600): If I’m not spending up for Gesicki this week, I’m spending down on GRONK! Finally showing signs of life, Gronk played 90% of the snaps in week 3, accounting for 6/48 and just missed a TD after Tom Brady overthrew him in the end zone. With Chris Godwin out and Scotty Miller banged up, I expect the Bucs passing game to funnel through Evans and Gronk this week. We will have our first Gronk Spike of the season this week!

Defenses I’m starting this week:

Rams ($3,900): Play the Giants, nuff said!

Buccaneers ($3,400): Have enough playmakers on defense to confuse Justin Herbert.

Texans ($2,500): Kirky has been turning the ball over as much as Jameis Winston did last season. A JJ Watt strip sack on Cousins just seems like a future highlight on SNF.

Hot Karl’s Locks of the Week: Deshaun Watson, Alvin Kamara, Dalvin Cook, Tyler Lockett, Kenny Golladay, Will Fuller, Mike Gesicki, Rams D.

NFL Week 3: DraftKings Start ‘Em

Russ will continue to cook in week 3!

After putting together some winning lineups in week 1, I came crashing back down to earth in week 2 after missing big time on the likes of Derrick “don’t start me unless its December” Henry and Davante Adams to name a few. However, as you can see below, I did hit on a few of my under the radar plays such as Tyler Higbee ($4,700) and Adam Humphries ($3,400). Noted, this column is only for the main Sunday DFS slate.

QB’s I’m starting this week:

Russell Wilson ($7,300): Do you smell what the Russ is cookin? Two weeks into the season, Russell Wilson has 9 TD’s and is on pace to win his first MVP award. While you have to pay up for Mr. Wilson, the appetizing match-up against the Cowboys is just too good to pass up. With a 55.5 o/u as of writing, you are going to want as many players as possible in this game.

Dak Prescott ($7,200): I like Dak this week for the same reasons I like Russell Wilson. In what should be a high scoring affair, the Cowboys could once again find themselves trailing. Playing from behind last week, Dak scored 43.8 DK points after throwing for 450 yards, one passing TD, and running in for 3 TD’s.

Kyler Murray ($6,800): After 2 weeks, Murray is living up to his sophomore season expectations averaging 30.2 DK points a game. This week, Murray draws another great match-up at home against the secondary-less Detroit Lions. While this could turn into a Kenyan Drake game on the ground, the Cardinals should be able to impose their will all over Matt Patricia’s defense.

Mitchell Trubisky ($5,700): If you are looking to spend down at QB this week, Mitch could be a fine play under 6K. While I could list reasons to start him this week, the only thing you really need to know is that he is playing against the Atlanta Falcons.

RB’s I’m starting this week:

Jonathan Taylor ($7,000): In his first NFL start at RB, Taylor rushed the ball 26 times, for 101 yards, and 1 TD. Next up is a game against the pathetic J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets who gave up multiple long rushing TD’s in week 2. With what should be another positive game script, start JT with confidence this week.

Austin Ekeler ($6,800): After a disappointing week 1, “Stunning Steve” Austin Ekeler had 148 yards from scrimmage on 20 touches. This week, Ekeler gets a juicy home match-up vs. a Panthers run defense that has been absolutely wrecked in back to back weeks. Joshua Kelley is also in play this week at $5,000.

Miles Sanders ($6,400): In his first game back from injury, Sanders picked up right where he left off last season, totaling over 130 yards and 1 TD. In Sanders second game of the season, he draws a plus match-up against a Bengals defense that just surrendered over 200 yards and 3 TD’s to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.

Kenyan Drake ($6,000): Coming off back-to-back disappointing performances, Drake could be more lower owned than usual this week. While Drake has not lived up to expectations thus far (averaging 13 DK points a game), his week 2 usage of 20 carries was encouraging. Going up against a Lions defense that just got shredded by Aaron Jones for over 200 yards and 3 total TD’s, Kenyan Drake is DUE this week.

Devin Singletary ($4,900): Should have the backfield mostly to himself since Zack Moss will miss week 3. Singletary could be in line for 20+ touches against a Rams defense that has allowed the 10th most rushing yards per game in 2020.

WR’s I’m starting this week:

DeAndre Hopkins ($7,900): Has been an absolute target monster, seeing 25 targets in the first 2 weeks. Who in the blue hell is going to cover NUK in Detroit’s secondary?

DK Metcalf ($6,500) and Tyler Lockett ($6,400): Both guys have gotten off to a hot start this season, averaging 19.4 and 18.5 DK points respectively. Russ should be cooking once again as the Cowboys have been gashed by WR’s the first two weeks.

Amari Cooper ($6,500) and CeeDee Lamb ($5,400): If you’re looking to stack the Seahawks/Cowboys game this week, these two WR’s should be strongly considered. Both WR’s will be targeted a ton while both receivers look to score their first TD’s of the season.

Allen Robinson ($6,200): Like Mike Evans last week, A-Rob could be the squeaky wheel that gets the grease this week. Mitch to A-Rob should be able to find holes in Atlanta’s leaky secondary.

Adam Humphries ($3,900): With A.J. Brown still banged up, Humphries should once again see 5-7 targets against a vulnerable Vikings secondary.

TE’s I’m starting this week:

Jonnu Smith ($5,200): Came alive last week, scoring twice with A.J. Brown out of the lineup. Smith should once again be leaned on vs. a Vikings defense that just gave up 5/111 to Mo Alie-Cox.

Evan Engram ($5,000): Should be one of the beneficiaries in the short area of the field with the loss of Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard. 49ers are a tough draw, but Engram should see plenty of targets in this one.

Logan Thomas ($3,700): I’m not a fan of Dwayne Haskins, but he has targeted LT a ton the first two weeks. This week, LT faces a Browns defense that has given up the most points to the TE position.

Chris Herndon ($3,400): Speaking of targets, where the hell was Herndon last week? Herndon was one of my major busts in week 2, catching 1/4 targets for 5 yards. While a pretty atrocious stat line like that might chase away some, I’m ready to be hurt again. With Perriman joining Crowder and Mims on the sidelines, Herndon should be a target hog in Indianapolis.

Defenses I’m starting this week:

Rams ($3,000): Josh Allen is still turnover prone and the Rams have the pass rush that could pressure Allen into making a few mistakes.

Texans ($2,100): Again, I will be taking the discount on defense to help build my roster with high upside players. While I expect the Steelers to put up points this week, I also expect JJ Watt and company to get some pressure on Big Ben. If the Texans can get a few sacks and a lucky turnover, that will be $2,100 well spent.

Hot Karl’s Locks of the Week: Russell Wilson, Miles Sanders, Kenyan Drake, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, CeeDee Lamb, Evan Engram, Texans D.

NFL Week 2: DraftKings Start ‘Em

Big game in Big D!

After a pretty solid week 1 outing, I am back with my favorite starts for the Sunday slate of week 2. As you can see below, I had some great success with my week 1 locks: Jacobs, Gurley, Adams, and Metcalf all hit pay dirt. While I also got some massive value out of The Washington Football Team defense at $2,000. Unfortunately, I did have one huge miss in DeSean Jackson scoring only 6.6 points. Thanks DJax!

QB’s I’m starting this week: Paying up at QB

Lamar Jackson ($8,200): The 2019 MVP picked up right where he left off last season, passing for 275 yards, 3TDs, and rushing for 45 yards on 7 attempts. Next up is an exploitable Texans defense that gave up 3TD’s to Patrick Mahomes in week 1. I absolutely love the Jackson, Brown, Andrews stack this week.

Aaron Rodgers ($6,900): The BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAD MAAAAAAAAAN is back! Rodgers scored 33.8 DK points last week with 364 yards and 4TD’s. This week is another great match-up against a Lions secondary that just surrendered 3 TD’s to Mitch Trubisky!

Dak Prescott ($6,800): Coming off an underwhelming Sunday night performance, Dak is in a “get right” spot against a burnable Falcons secondary who just surrendered 300 yards and 4 TD’s to Russell Wilson. Ride the 53.5 o/u!

Josh Allen ($6,700): Passed for 300 yards, rushed for 57 yards, and scored 3 total TD’s in week 1. My only fear this week is that the Bills will control this game on the ground as the Dolphins just gave up 217 yards to the Patriots. However, the Bills could run a similar game plan as the Patriots did last week, which allowed Cam Newton to rush for 75 yards and 2 rushing scores.

RB’s I’m starting this week:

Ezekiel Elliot ($8,200): Should be one of the highest owned RB’s on this slate. Zeke looked amazing last week (except for that god awful tattoo) scoring 27.7 DK points against a very solid Rams defense. This week, Zeke should eat again against a Falcons defense that gave up 3 TD’s to Seahawks RB’s in week 1.

Derrick Henry ($7,900): Getting Derrick Henry for under 8K seems like cheating. While his ownership should be massive this week, Henry’s match-up against the Jaguars is just too good to pass up. In 2 games against the Jags last season, Henry totaled 200 yards on the ground and 3 total TD’s. If you don’t have Henry in your lineup this week, you don’t like money.

Jonathan Taylor ($5,700): Taking over lead back duties after Marlon Mack’s season ending injury, JT should see 15-20 touches and is a value play at $5700. While some may be concerned with Nyheim Hines stealing touches, Taylor has a much more favorable match-up vs. the Vikings defensive tackles on the ground compared to Hines who will be covered by the fast Vikings linebacker core in the passing game.

Ronald Jones ($5,200): Early season fears of a timeshare between Jones and Fournette were put on hold last week after Jones touched the ball 19 times compared to Fournette’s 6 touches. While I expect Fournette to take over the ground game for the Bucs eventually, this week should once again be a Ronald Jones week. Going against a Panthers defense that just got lit up for 130 yards and 3 TD’s by Josh Jacobs, I like RJ’s chances to reach 100 yards and 1-2 TD’s.

WR’s I’m starting this week:

DaVante Adams ($8,100): Saw a massive 17 targets last week and put up a 14/156/2 stat line. Will once again be featured against a burnable Lions secondary. Probably the last week you can get Adams under 9K.

Adam Thielen ($7,200): Scored 34 DK points last week and should be in line for 6-8 targets once again. Has a very favorbale match-up this week as Rhodes should be wide open for Thielen.

Mike Evans ($6,400): With Chris Godwin practically ruled out, Evans could see double digit targets as the GOAT looks to prove that he still has it. Bruce Arians will look to correct Evans involvement after he “felt bad” that Evans didn’t at least see 10 targets last week. The squeaky wheel is going to get the grease this week!

Amari Cooper (6,300): One of my favorite stacks this week is pairing Dak/Amari. While Cooper continues to be a feature on the weekly injury report, all signs point to him being a full go against a very beatable Falcons secondary. Another factor that has me high on Amari is his home and away splits. This high scoring affair will take place in Jerry’s World where Cooper has put up monster game after monster game. Check out his 2019 home/away splits below!

Danny Amendola ($4,800): With Kenny Golladay being ruled out again, Amendola should once again see 5-8 targets in a game where the Lions will be playing from behind. Scored 13.1 DK points last week.

CeeDee Lamb ($4,700): Was involved a lot more last week than I thought he would, securing 5 catches for 59 yards. Will have a favorable match-up in the slot against the Falcons secondary (Tyler Lockett 8/92) in what should be a shoot out in Jerry’s World.

Parrish Campbell ($4,500): Coming off a career high 9 targets, Campbell should be able to outrun anyone in the Vikings secondary. As long as Rivers is able to get rid of the ball on time (has struggled against Mike Zimmer’s defense), Campbell could be a week winner.

Corey Davis ($4,000) and Adam Humphries ($3,400): Both Titans WR’s are in play this week as AJ Brown has been ruled out. Jaguars were burned for 363 through the air last week.

TE’s I’m starting this week:

Mark Andrews ($6,300): Played on 71% of the Ravens offensive snaps last week and continues to be a heavy redzone threat for Lamar Jackson after scoring 2 TD’s in the opener. Texans defense has been used and abused by TE’s over the past few seasons.

Tyler Higbee ($4,700): While Higbee was rather quiet in week 1 (3/40), it was encouraging that he played around 90% of the snaps. With the improvements in the Eagles secondary, I expect Goff to look Higbee’s way a lot more this week.

Chris Herndon ($3,400): If you are going to pay down at TE this week, Herndon is the pick. With Jamison Crowder being ruled out, Herndon could see 7-10 targets as Darnold’s primary target in the middle of the field.

Defenses I’m starting this week: I never pay up for defense

Rams ($2,800): Will be a favorite for many this week after that team from Washington crushed Carson Wentz last week.

Giants ($2,400): Any defense going up against Mitch has starter potential. Actually played pretty well on Monday night.

Jets ($2,000): Most likely I will be taking the value on defense again this week as the Jets host a banged up Kittle-less 49ers offense. Greg Williams defenses are known to dial up blitzes, which could throw off Jimmy G as the 9ers travel cross country for this 1PM kickoff.

Hot Karl’s Locks of the Week: Dak Prescott, Derrick Henry, Ronald Jones, Amari Cooper, Mike Evans, Parrish Campbell, Mark Andrews, Jets defense.

NFL Week 1 Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em

Jaguars WR DJ Chark expected to play against Falcons

Ladies and gentleman, Week 1 of the NFL season is here! So with week one upon us, its time for fantasy owners to set their starting lineups. Throughout the season I will be providing some of my favorite/least favorite starts for QB, RB, WR, TE, and defense…not sorry kickers! I will also provide pricing points for those who play daily fantasy on Draft Kings as well. Throughout the weeks, I will not be providing obvious starts such as CMC or Julio Jones, because you better be starting them every week. Instead, I will focus more on those fringe lineup selections. You know, the guys you keep rotating in and out of your lineups on Sunday mornings.

Quarterback Start ‘Em

Ben Roethlisberger (Showdown): Big Ben returns to action on Monday night vs. the New York football Giants. While I expect a monster showing from James Conner, the Steel Curtain defense should give Big Ben plenty of favorable scoring opportunities. While the Giants did make some improvements in their secondary this offseason, I like Big Ben’s weapons much more. Eric Ebron is a sneaky redzone play.

Cam Newton ($6,100): Scaaaaaaaaaaaam! The hoodie and Cam Newton will both be on a mission this season, and it starts in a favorable match-up vs. a Dolphins defense who gave up the second most fantasy points to QB’s last season.

Gardner Minshew ($5,800): The legend of Gardner Minshew may become a popular start ’em candidate this season as the Jaguars should be playing from behind a lot. With the Colts being a 7.5 point favorite as of writing, and with a lack of running game in Duval County, Minshew should have to chuck the football 30-40 times this week.

Mitchell Trubisky ($5,400): As disgusted as I feel putting Mitch as a start ’em this week, the former second overall pick has a very favorable match-up vs. the Lions. In two meetings vs. the Lions last season, Mitch combined for 6 total TD’s. While the return of David Montgomery changes the possible game flow, I expect Mitch to air it out against a Darius Slay-less Lions secondary.

Quarterback Sit ‘Em

Kirk Cousins ($5,700): You like that!? Probably not this week Kirky! In two meetings against the Pack last season, Kirky struggled a lot with only one TD pass in each contest. Without much improvements on the offensive line, the loss of Stefhon Diggs, and a pretty good GB pass rush, I expect Kirky’s struggles to continue.

Baker Mayfield ($5,700): While I expect some progression in Baker Mayfield this season, I expect him to struggle vs. a stacked Ravens defense. The possibility of Jarvis Landry being on a snap count limits Baker’s upside.

Sam Darnold ($5,500): Has a banged up receiver core and is facing one of the top defenses in the league. Not much else to say there!

Runningback Start ‘Em

Todd Gurley ($6,100): In season long leagues, you are starting Todd Gurley. But are you confident? I think you should be this week. Gurley enters week 1 with fresh legs (knees), is in a game with one of the highest point totals (o/u 48.5), and is facing a Seahawks run defense that ranked towards the bottom last season. Gurley is one of my favorites to score multiple TD’s this week. Book it!

Marlon Mack ($5,300): Jonathan Taylor has been the talk all offseason. But its Marlon Mack who is favored to receive the bulk of the load this week vs. a tanking Jaguars team. In two meetings last season, Mack shredded the Jaguars for 186 yards and 3 TD’s.

Zack Moss ($4,400): While it is a wait and see approach on how Buffalo will split the backfield touches this season, I fully expect the Bills to run away with a win this week. Without stud linebacker C.J. Mosley, the Bills should be able run the ball down the Jets throats this weekend. While I’m not expecting a huge stat line this week for Moss, he should hit his $4,400 value on Draft Kings with TD upside as the favorite for goal line duties.

Runningback Sit ‘Em

David Montgomery ($5,900): Initially ruled out 2-4 weeks, Montgomery had a very fast turnaround and is expected to play. While the match-up against Detroit is appealing, I would sit Montgomery this week until he proves that his groin injury is healed.

Le’Veon Bell ($5,600): The combination of Adam Gase, Frank Gore, and a monster Bills defense makes Bell an easy fade for me this week.

Ronald Jones ($5,200): Facing a Saints defense that allowed an average of 93 yards on the ground last season. The addition of Leonard Fournette limits Jones TD upside.

J.K. Dobbins ($5,000): While some might be excited to pull the trigger on Dobbins, I would wait a little bit. Currently buried on the Ravens depth chart, Dobbins might struggle to see the field out of the gate. Fully expecting week 1 to be a Mark Ingram game.

Wide Receiver Start ‘Em

Allen Robinson ($6,500): A popular stack this week in DFS could be Mitch/Arob. Robinson had double digit PPR games in both meetings against the Lions last season with 6/86 & 8/86/1. Robinson is a low end WR1 for me this week.

DJ Chark ($6,300): My favorite below $7K WR play this week. Surprisingly I have seen a ton of people asking if they should start Chark in week 1. Shame on all of you! Chark absolutely shredded the Colts in week 11 last season, posting 8/104/2. While the Colts made some moves this offseason to improve their secondary with the addition of Xavier Rhodes. Lets just say, Rhodes will be wide open for Chark this week!

Marvin Jones ($5,500): If you followed my draft advice to pass on Golladay early to get Marvin Jones 4-5 rounds later, congratulations! With Golladay doubtful this week, “Starvin” Marvin Jones will step into an increased role and should be viewed as a WR2 this week. In two meetings last season against Da Bears, Jones posted 5/77 and 3/40/1.

Jamison Crowder ($5,200): Who else is going to catch passes for the Jets!? In both meetings against the Bills last season, Crowder was a target monster with double digit targets in each contest, posting stat lines of 14/99 and 8/66/1.

DeSean Jackson ($4,900): REVENGE!!! Talk about deja vu from week 1 last season, Jackson once again faces his former team who he slaughtered for 8/154/2. As one of the only healthy receivers on the field for the Eagles, Jackson has monster upside this week.

Wide Receiver Sit ‘Em

DeAndre Hopkins (6,800): While you’re not sitting him in season long leagues, you should look elsewhere in DFS. In his debut in a Cardinals uniform, Nuk draws one of the stingiest secondaries this week against the 49ers. Coming into a new offense and a limited offseason, Nuk may start slow this season.

Keenan Allen ($6,400): While Keenan Allen is one of the top WR’s in the league talent wise, I am not sold on Tyrod Taylor. Although he could have a solid PPR day this week vs. a vulnerable Bengals secondary, I would look elsewhere in DFS.

Terry McLaurin ($5,600): Another WR who has a ton of talent, but is paired with mediocre QB in Dwayne Haskins. They call him Scary Terry, but against Darius Slay this week I am Scared of Terry.

Tight End Start ‘Em

Hayden Hurst ($4,300): In what could be a shootout in Hotlanta, Hurst will see a ton of single coverage against a Seahawks team that struggled against tight ends last season.

O.J. Howard ($3,700): With Mike Evans banged up, many are looking at Gronk to benefit the most. And while I think Gronk is a fine play this week, O.J. Howard is a sneaky option who will be on the field a ton. TB12 also took it upon himself during training camp to help O.J. Howard improve on his route running. Everybody knows the talent potential is there, and maybe it will just take a QB like Brady to get the most out of him.

Jack Doyle ($3,600): Doyle Rules! Jack Doyle will enter the season with an every down role playing alongside a QB who loves his tight ends. I would not expect a huge day out of Doyle, but around 4-5 catches and 1 TD against the Jaguars is easily within reach. You can do much worse with $3,600 on DK.

Chris Herndon ($3,300): While the Bills are a tough match-up this week, Herndon should see a ton of targets underneath as Darnold will be under pressure. 5-7 targets for $3,300? Sign me up for that.

Tight End Sit ‘Em

Austin Hooper ($5,100): The Ravens pose as a tough match-up for the newly acquired Austin Hooper. While he may be a low end TE play in season long, I would avoid Hooper in DFS.

Greg Olsen ($4,000): Metcalf and Lockett match-ups are just too good in this one, I would expect a low volume day from Olsen in Atlanta.

Robert Tonyan ($2,500): If you don’t know who Robert Tonyan is, you’re not the only one. Stepping into a starting role with the Packers, Tonyan has the potential to be a low risk/high reward DFS play if he just scores a TD this week. Unfortunately for him, he faces a Vikings defense that has been stingy against tight ends.

Defense Start ‘Em

Colts (3,000)

Packers ($2,600)

Washington Football Team ($2,000)

Defense Sit ‘Em

Lions ($2,700)

Vikings ($2,500)

Buccaneers ($2,200)

September 2020 Fantasy Football PPR Rankings: Top 100

While it has been a very crazy and eventful 2020, the NFL season is only days away! So its time to take a look at The Fantasy Football Schmucks PPR Rankings for 2020. These rankings are based on full point PPR leagues, starting one QB, two RB’s, three WR’s, one TE, and one flex. While all TD’s reward 6 points, QB’s will be ranked lower due to the full point PPR format. My emphasis on draft day is to lock down one of the top RB’s within the first two rounds. With the amount of depth at the WR position this season, I am perfectly fine with going two RB’s and one WR within the first three rounds, and hammering down on WR’s between rounds 4-7.

  1. Christian McCaffrey: Run CMC is coming off one of the most consistent fantasy football seasons of all time with 2,392 total yards, 116 receptions, and 19 total TD’s. Teddy Bridgewater will be an upgrade over Scam Newton in the short passing game.
  2. Ezekiel Elliot: Safe top 4 pick who could lead the league in rushing yards/TD’s. Would not expect Elliot to top the 54 receptions he posted in 2019 as the Cowboys made improvements in the passing game. Lead dog for an offense that should put up plenty of points.
  3. Saquon Barkley: Was a complete bust for most of last season, was able to finish strong with 14 receptions, 606 total yards, and 5 TD’s over the last four games of 2019. Consistency should pick up with a full season of Danny Dimes under center.
  4. Alvin Kamara: Coming off a disappointing season filled with injuries, Kamara is in a great spot to bounce-back. Has at least 80 receptions in 3 straight seasons. I have zero trade concerns going into this season.
  5. Michael Thomas: Lowest season reception total is 92, which was his rookie season! Coming off an absolute monster year with 149/1,725/9 stat line. Could make an argument to take him #2 overall in PPR.
  6. Derrick Henry: Carried the Titans and many fantasy owners into the playoffs last season. Coming off a career year with 1,540 rushing yards and 18 total TD’s. Henry does have game flow/PPR risk as he only posted 18 receptions last season. However, based on the Titans schedule, Henry should have plenty of positive game scripts.
  7. Dalvin Cook: Finally had his breakout season in year 3 with 1,654 total yards and 13 TD’s. Will continue to be the featured back on a run first team and should build on his 53 receptions from last season with Kirky Checkdown.
  8. Davante Adams: Remains the only consistent presence in the GB passing game, 10+ TD upside and his QB is a BAAAAAAAAAAAAD MAN!
  9. Julio Jones: As consistent as they come, Julio posted 99/1,394/6 in 15 games last season. Julio hasn’t finished under 1,300 receiving yards since 2013 and will continue to be a target monster in Hotlanta.
  10. Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Not so breaking news, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is now the lead back in KC after Damien Williams decided to opt out for the 2020 season. Without a preseason to evaluate how CEH will fit in KC’s offense, the fantasy world will have to pay close attention to training camp. What we do know about CEH, standing 5’8 and 209lbs, CEH ran for 1,414 yards and 16TDS as a one year starter at LSU. CEH has passing game chops as well after catching 55 passes for 400 yards last season with the Tigers. If given a three down role, CEH is a legitimate RB1 with top 5 upside.
  11. Travis Kelce: Coming off 97/1,229/5 season, will continue to be a focal point in the Chiefs passing game. One of 2 TE’s that provide a weekly edge at the position. Mahomes over Jimmy G gives Kelce the edge in my TE rankings.
  12. George Kittle: The second TE that provides a weekly edge at the position, has room to improve on back-to-back 5 TD seasons. Coming off back-to-back 80+ catch/1,000+ yard seasons.
  13. Tyreek Hill: Top deep threat in the league, the “Cheetah” will continue to be a WR1 with Patrick Mahomes at QB. Has more consistency issues than the WR’s ahead of him, but has tons of week winning upside.
  14. Miles Sanders: Finished 2019 with 1,327 yards from scrimmage and 6 total TD’s after playing a limited role to begin the season. Has RB1 upside if Eagles commit to Sanders as a 3 down back. Currently listed “week to week,” but should be ready for week 1.
  15. Kenyan Drake: Finally reached his full potential following his trade from south beach to the desert. Down the stretch, Drake finished the season with 643 rushing yards, 28 receptions, and 8TDs in 8 games with the Cardinals. As long as the Cardinals stay committed to feeding Drake, the sky is the limit. On track for week 1, is some concern that Chase Edmonds could play a larger role.
  16. DeAndre Hopkins: On a new team and missed some practice time with a “tight” hamstring. Has more competition for targets in Arizona and a limited offseason to build rapport with Kyler Murray. Still possesses top 5 WR talent in a pass happy offense.
  17. Ju-ju Smith-Schuster: Should bounce back to that 90-100 reception season with Big Ben back. Smith-Schuster saw 8 targets in his first two games with Big Ben last season. Don’t let last season scare you away from this draft day value. My pick to lead the league in receptions this season.
  18. Adam Thielen: Will see tons of targets in the Diggs-less Vikings offense. Had 6 TDs in the first 7 games of 2019 prior to injuries. Posted 113/1,373/9 in 16 game season with Kirky in 2018.
  19. Chris Godwin: Coming off a huge breakout season with 86/1,333/9 stat line. The GOAT should have no problem finding his Julian Edelman replacement underneath in Tampa. Ranked slightly lower for me due to competition for targets in the Bucs passing game.
  20. Nick Chubb: Almost ran away with the rushing title in his second season with 1,494 rushing yards and 8 TD’s. Limited passing game role with Kareem Hunt involved lowers value in PPR.
  21. Aaron Jones: Coming off a break out season with 19 TD’s, Jones should have been an obvious first round selection in fantasy drafts this year. Packers continue to play games at RB position after selecting AJ Dillon in the second round.
  22. Patrick Mahomes: Obviously Mahomes was due for regression after posting 50 TD’s in 2018. But going into his 3rd full season as a starter, Mahomes is still the safest bet at the QB position. If you want a monster QB stat line for week 1, Mahomes plays Houston who he destroyed for 594 yards and 8 TD’s in two games last season.
  23. Lamar Jackson: The reigning MVP, Jackson was an absolute beast last season with 43 total TDs. And for a fun comparison, Jackson had 5 total 100+ yard rushing games…Leonard Fournette had 3!
  24. Joe Mixon: Finished 2019 strong with 817 rushing yards and 5TDs over his last 8 games. Should improve with healthy offensive line/Joe Burrow, although his lack of passing game usage lowers his ceiling. Personally feel that Mixon’s upside is locked into where he is being drafted this year at the end of the 1st/early 2nd round.
  25. James Conner: Huge bounce-back potential with return of Big Ben/contract year. 1 year removed from 973 rushing yards, 55 receptions, and 13 total TDs in 13 games. Value selection going off the boards in the 3rd/4th round that could be a league winner.
  26. Chris Carson: In his first full season as the lead back in Seattle, Carson eclipsed 1,200 yards and 9 total TD’s. Not worried about Carlos Hyde signing.
  27. Austin Ekeler: With Melvin Gordon moving to Denver,”Stunning Steve” Austin Ekeler will take over as the lead dog in LA. While Ekeler was a PPR machine last season catching 92 passes, I view the loss of Phillip Rivers as a downgrade for the entire LA offense. Chargers OC also stated that all 3 RBs in LA will “share the load.”
  28. Josh Jacobs: Over 1,000 rushing yards as a rookie and is rumored to have increased usage in the passing game. Although, the Raiders have gone out of their way to sign every available RB who can catch passes.
  29. Cooper Kupp: The real #1 WR for the LA Rams posted 94/1,161/10 last season. Should continue to see plenty of volume with Cooks heading to Houston.
  30. Allen Robinson: Somehow managed 98/1,147/7 stat line with Mitch Fricken Trubisky! View Robinson as a strong WR2, with WR1 upside if Nick Foles wins starting job.
  31. Mike Evans: Has had over 1,000 receiving yards in six straight seasons. 10+ TD upside. With competition for targets, may turn out to be a WR2/3 most weeks instead of a WR1.
  32. Odell Beckham Jr: To say OBJ’s first season with the Browns was underwhelming would be an understatement. Mixed in with Baker Mayfield’s struggling play, OBJ was able to post a meh 74/1035/4 stat line. With Kevin Stefanski now calling the shots, OBJ could turn out to be a value pick if Mayfield is able to bounce back. Highest upside among WR’s in this range.
  33. Amari Cooper: Posted a respectable 79/1,189/8 stat line in his first full season with the Cowboys. Disappeared down the stretch last season after dealing with injuries. Has been limited recently in Cowboys camp, continue to monitor.
  34. Calvin Ridley: My 2020 Chris Godwin breakout pick. While Ridley’s stats have been good, not great over his first two seasons (Ridley has not topped 65 receptions or 900 yards.) Ridley has the talent and should see plenty of targets in Hotlanta. Ridley has also scored 17 TD’s in 29 games, which is a much better average than his elite counterpart.
  35. Mark Andrews: Has a clear connection with Lamar Jackson, posting 64/852/10 in 15 games last season. Will hopefully receive more targets with Hayden Hurst moving to Atlanta.
  36. David Johnson: Slowed by injuries in 2019, DJ heads to Houston where he will be a 3 down back for Bill O’Brien. While DJ may not be as efficient as he once was, he could turn out to be a value pick with 250 touch upside if he can stay healthy. Case in point, Carlos Hyde somehow managed 1,000 rushing yards in Houston last season.
  37. D.K. Metcalf: Averaged as a WR3 at best last season, Metcalf has the size, the speed, and the QB to take his play to the next level. Coming off a 7TD season, Metcalf should top 1,000 yards and double digit TD’s this season. Which is why I give him a slight edge over Lockett. Not concerned with return of Josh Gordon.
  38. Tyler Lockett: Speaking of Lockett, he is coming off career bests 82/1,057/8. While I still love Lockett’s potential, this will be the year Metcalf takes over as Seattle’s go-to receiver.
  39. A.J. Brown: Put up a solid 52/1,051/8 in his rookie campaign. Fantasy success will rely heavily on Ryan Tannehill putting on an encore performance.
  40. D.J. Moore: Should improve on 87/1,175/4 with Teddy Two Gloves under center.
  41. Robert Woods: With Brandin Cooks departure, Woods should continue to hog targets in the Rams fast-paced offense. While Woods totaled 90 receptions for 1,134 yards, he managed a pathetic 2 TDs last season. Woods should once again hang around 80-90 receptions, 1000 yards, and 5-7 TDs with better luck.
  42. Zach Ertz: Should once again flirt with 80-90 catches as one of the few consistent targets for Carson Wentz. Eagles receiver core is filled with injuries.
  43. Todd Gurley: Gurley’s fantasy outlook should improve in Atlanta, where he should have more opportunities in the passing game. Injury concerns will keep the former Georgia Bulldog a boom/bust this season. Koetter expects Gurley to have 15-25 touches a game.
  44. Jonathan Taylor: Ran for 6,174 yards and 50 TD’s as a three year starter for Wisconsin. While Marlon Mack is currently listed as the lead back for the Colts, the Colts are expected to ride the hot hand this season. I do not expect JT to run out of the gate with the job, but as the season rolls on I believe the former Badger standout will win out.
  45. Courtland Sutton: Love the potential for the 6’4 wideout after averaging 15.4 yards per reception last season with big arm Drew Lock at QB. Will need to reach double digit TD’s to justify current draft price.
  46. D.J. Chark: Came out of nowhere last season to top 1,000 yards and 8TD’s. With the Jaguars going full on “tank for Trevor” mode, Chark could lead the league in targets as the Jaguars play from behind.
  47. Kenny Golladay: Very over hyped this season, been going off the boards in the 2nd-3rd round. While I love the talent, Kenny’s highest reception total is 70 and is on a very run heavy offense. I would much rather wait a few rounds for Marvin Jones who has posted similar stats.
  48. T.Y. Hilton: Is back at camp following a minor hamstring pull. Injuries continue to be alarming, however with good health and an upgrade at QB, Hilton could return weekly WR2 value.
  49. Russell Wilson: Topped 30 TD’s for the 3rd season in a row, should be the #3 QB off the boards on draft day.
  50. Dak Prescott: The addition of CeeDee Lamb puts the Cowboys WR room over the top. Passed for 4,902 and 33 total TD’s last season. Playing for a long-term contract.
  51. Darren Waller: One of fantasy’s preseason darlings last season, Waller lived up to the hype with 90 receptions for 1,145 yards. Should improve on his 3TD total last season.
  52. Will Fuller: Probably pulled a hamstring while I’m typing this. In all seriousness, Fuller has the potential to be a high end WR2. Unfortunately, Fuller has yet to play in a full 16 game season. Will this finally be the year? Reports out of camp are that Fuller is fully recovered from offseason groin surgery. With Hopkins heading to Arizona, Fuller has massive upside if he can just stay healthy. See 2019 week 5 stats for example: 14/217/3.
  53. Terry McLaurin: “Scary Terry” came out of nowhere last season to combine for 58/919/7 in 14 games. While I love the talent and volume potential in Washington, my expectations remain lower due to Dwayne Haskins.
  54. Brandin Cooks: With 150 targets leaving town with Nuk Hopkins, Cooks has the upside to blow away his draft price. Concussion history is a major concern.
  55. Keenan Allen: If he wasn’t happy with where he was ranked in NFL’s top 100, he probably wouldn’t like where I have him ranked here. Easily a top 10 talent at the position, Tyrod Taylor is a downgrade at QB. Could benefit from Mike Williams missing time to begin the season.
  56. Evan Engram: A TE1 when he’s on the field, Engram has been plagued by injuries over the past few seasons (missed 13 games the last two seasons.). Has been impressive in training camp and entering year 4 injury free, Engram could put together a career year with Danny Dimes.
  57. Melvin Gordon: The belief is that Flash Gordon will be the week 1 starter, unfortunately Denver’s backfield is shaping up as a RBBC with Phillip Lindsay sharing the load.
  58. Kyler Murray: Passed for a respectable 3,772 and 24 total TD’s in year #1. The 2019 offensive Rookie of the Year is a favorite to make a year 2 leap.
  59. Mark Ingram: Would be ranked higher if Baltimore didn’t have a ton of RB’s. Should maintain goal line duties after scoring 15 TD’s last season.
  60. Le’Veon Bell: In fantasy, volume is king. And while Bell did next to nothing on 300 touches last season, Bell should once again see a heavy workload. Although, Frank Gore and Adam Gase are a concern to Bell’s upside. Currently on my “do not draft” list.
  61. Stefon Diggs: Moving on from Kirky, Diggs will be catching passes from a more strong armed, less accurate Josh Allen. Unfortunately for Diggs, he is moving onto another run first team, while sharing targets with John Brown and Cole Beasley. View Diggs as a boom/bust WR3 with potential to mix in monster game winning weeks.
  62. Kareem Hunt: While sharing time with Nick Chubb last season, Hunt established himself as a viable RB2/flex in fantasy after catching 37 passes (5.5 targets per game) and 3 total TD’s in 8 games. Hunt would easily become a weekly RB1 if Chubb was to get injured.
  63. Zack Moss: The training camp hype for Moss is building by the day. The 1B in the Bills backfield should immediately carve out a role in the passing game. Arrow is also pointing up with Singletary having fumbling issues during camp. Standing 5’10 and 222lbs, Moss is also a favorite to take over goal line duties in a Bills offense that should put up points.
  64. Leonard Fournette: Still uncertain with Lenny’s role in Tampa, my guess is that Fournette will begin the year in a RBBC with RJ. With the possibility of talent winning out, Fournette has 10+ TD potential if given lead back duties in Tampa. With the talent to be a 3 down back, Fournette is the back I want to own in Tampa.
  65. Devin Singletary: The 1A to Zack Moss’s 1B in the Bills backfield. Fantasy stock took a major hit this offseason. Reportedly experiencing fumbling issues in camp.
  66. Julian Edelman: The loss of TB12 hurts Edelman’s fantasy value, but Scam Newton is a big upgrade over what else they have at QB. Should still catch around 70-80 passes with 5-6 TD’s.
  67. Tyler Boyd: Coming off back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons, a camp favorite of Joe Burrow. View as a WR3 with WR2 upside if A.J. Green can’t stay healthy.
  68. Michael Gallup: Topped over 1,000 yards but only had 3 TD’s until he exploded with 3 TD’s in week 17. The presence of CeeDee Lamb could limit upside, but Gallup should improve on his 6 TD’s. Amari Cooper’s current health could provide a boost to Gallup out of the gate.
  69. Marvin Jones: Kenny Golladay in 16 games 65/1,190/11 VS. Marvin Jones in 13 games 62/779/9. I would much rather wait 3-4 more rounds and get Marvin Jones over Golladay.
  70. Marquise Brown: Hollywood put on 23lbs this offseason which can be a concern for his speed. Loses value in full PPR format due to lack of targets. Weekly boom/bust player.
  71. Desean Jackson: One of the only healthy WR’s on the Eagles, Jackson should benefit from the Eagles emphasis on the vertical passing game this season. REVENGE GAME week 1! 2019 week 1 stats vs. Redskins (The Washington Football Team) 8/154/2 with an average of 19.3 per catch!
  72. Jamison Crowder: After starting slowly, Crowder put together a strong second half of the season to finish with 78/833/6 on 122 targets. While he won’t blow the stat sheets away, Crowder has a pretty solid floor as the slot man for the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets.
  73. DeVante Parker: One of my hot takes last season was Parker finally reaching the 1,000 yard milestone, which he was finally able to do. Currently dealing with a “minor ailment” with no timetable for return. Fish should be playing catch-up a lot.
  74. Cam Akers: Will most likely be the first Rams RB off the boards in fantasy drafts. Will be competing with Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson for touches in what looks like a RBBC. Henderson currently dealing with “mild” hamstring pull.
  75. Ronald Jones: As of writing, Arians has committed to RJ as the lead back following the acquisition of Leonard Fournette. While I loved RJ’s touchdown upside this season, Tampa’s backfield could turn into a RBBC.
  76. Deshaun Watson: Great talent and Houston should be in plenty of shootouts this season. Will need Cooks and Fuller to stay healthy…which might be asking for a lot. Gets the edge over the veteran signal callers due to rushing upside.
  77. Drew Brees: Surrounded by an elite supporting cast, but be prepared to get ripped off by Taysom Hill a few times this season.
  78. Tom Brady: The GOAT moves to Tampa where he will have a chip on his shoulder, entering his age 43 season. While father time remains undefeated, Brady will have one of the best supporting casts of his career.
  79. Josh Allen: A better fantasy QB than he has shown in real life, Allen has 17 rushing TD’s in his first two seasons. With the addition of Stefon Diggs, Allen has all the talent around him to reach the next level.
  80. Diontae Johnson: Broke out with 59/680/5 with Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges at QB. Throughout the years, the #2 WR for the Steelers has had great success with Big Ben under center.
  81. Jarvis Landry: Posted 83/1,174/6 in a down year for Baker Mayfield. All signs point to a full recovery from offseason hip surgery.
  82. Hunter Henry: Has played in only 41 of 64 games since being drafted, could become a favorite for Justin Herbert once he takes over QB duties from Tyrod.
  83. Kerryon Johnson: Has shown RB2 upside when on the field, unfortunately staying on the field has been an issue for Kerryon as he has missed a total of 14 games in his first two seasons. While Kerryon is expected to open the season as the starter, he will now battle with D’Andre Swift for touches.
  84. D’Andre Swift: Will open the season behind Kerryon Johnson after Swift missed a week of camp with a “lower leg injury.” Has the highest PPR upside of the two with 73 career catches (9.1 yards per reception) for the Bulldogs.
  85. James White: Will maintain the passing down role while injuries continue to plague the New England backfield. 60-70 receptions should be within reach once again.
  86. Emmanuel Sanders: The 33 year old proved the doubters wrong with his comeback from tearing his Achilles in 2018. Will now slide into the #2 role behind Michael Thomas. With a lot of mouths to feed, view Sanders as a WR3/4 with WR2 upside if anything happens to Michael Thomas.
  87. Tyler Higbee: Was an afterthought on the Rams offense until he went nuts over the final 5 weeks with 43/522/2. Sean McVay has been talking up Gerald Everett and getting Everett more opportunities.
  88. A.J. Green: 32 years old, has missed 29 games over the past three seasons, and tweaked his hamstring in training camp. Currently going higher than I feel comfortable reaching for.
  89. Matt Ryan: Has thrown for over 4,000 yards in nine straight seasons. Should continue to throw a ton in Atlanta’s high flying offense.
  90. Carson Wentz: Fantasy stats should benefit from the Eagles implementing a more vertical passing game. #nomorecheckoffs
  91. Aaron Rodgers: The BAAAAAAAAAD MAN has been badly supported throughout the years in GB. Should be playing with a chip on his shoulder this season.
  92. Phillip Lindsay: Combined for 2,485 yards in his first two seasons, will have a lesser role behind newly acquired Melvin Gordon. Lindsay could become a stash and play as Gordon has only one full 16 game season under his belt.
  93. Tarik Cohen: While some think Cohen might get more chances on the ground due to Montgomery missing time, I believe Cohen will maintain his passing game role with Cordarrelle Patterson receiving early down work.
  94. Marlon Mack: Currently the starting RB for the Colts, Frank Reich stated that they will “ride the hot hand.” Jonathan Taylor will be the hotter hand.
  95. David Montgomery: Averaged a pretty gross 3.67 YPC while only catching 25 passes last season. Should once again see plenty of volume on the ground, though we would love to see an increase in passing game usage. Expected to miss 2-4 weeks with a strained groin. Currently on my “do not draft” list.
  96. Jared Cook: Had a career high with 9 TD’s, most likely the #4 option in the Saints passing game behind Thomas, Sanders, and Kamara.
  97. John Brown: Was a weekly WR 2 last season, addition of Diggs will lower Brown to a WR 3/4 with weekly boom/bust potential.
  98. Chase Edmonds: Was given a vote of confidence by Kingsbury prior to Kenyan Drake appearing in a walking boot. Is an absolute must own if you draft Drake this season. Week 7 stat line when given touches: 27 carries, 126 yards, 3TDs.
  99. Raheem Mostert: Massive upside if given the opportunity, 49ers backfield is a mess I plan to avoid.
  100. Hayden Hurst: Expected to have an every down role in ATL, Hurst joins a Falcons team that has had 7 total 70 catch seasons by TE’s in 12 seasons under Matty Ice.

August 2019 PPR Top 100

The NFL season is almost here! So its time to take a look at the third and final part of The Fantasy Football Schmucks PPR Rankings for 2019. Just like our previous rankings, these rankings are based on full point PPR leagues, starting one QB, and rewarding 6 points per TD. Noted, these rankings have been updated post Andrew Luck news.

  1. Alvin Kamara: Provides the safest floor among top 4 RBs. In his first 31 games, Kamara has scored 31 total TDs to go along with 162 receptions. With Mark Ingram’s departure, there should be even more opportunities for Kamara, even with the “Tay Train” coming through The Big Easy.
  2. Christian McCaffrey: Run CMC is the first player in NFL history with 187 receptions in his first two seasons. For those worried about how he would handle a full workload, McCaffrey put that to rest last season with 326 touches with an average of 5 yards per carry. If that is not good enough for you, have you seen that mans arms?
  3. Saquon Barkley: Last years ROY and #1 overall PPR scoring back, Saquon is a safe bet for over 300 touches. With the loss of OBJ on the outside and Golden Tate’s 4 game suspension, Barkley should once again top 90 receptions. TD upside may be limited by lack of offensive talent around him.
  4. Ezekiel Elliot: Not going to lie, I am getting afraid that Zeke won’t be back by week 1 now, thanks Jerry Jones! Following a career best 77 catches, the Cowboys have more mouths to feed this season with Cooper, Gallup, Cobb, and the returning Jason Witten. Although 70+ catches may be hard to come by, Zeke should return to double digit TDs this season.
  5. Davante Adams: Last seasons WR #1 in PPR and his QB just happens to be a “Baaaaaaaaaad Maaaaan!” Should continue to be a target monster in an Aaron Rodgers led offense.
  6. DeAndre Hopkins: One of the leagues elite wide receivers (also the only offensive player in Madden 20 to get a 99 rating) coming off back to back seasons with double digit TDs. Has to compete with Fuller and Coutee for targets, if they can stay healthy….which Coutee is already banged up.
  7. Odell Beckham Jr: Could easily re-establish himself as the best WR in the game without the ghost of Eli Manning throwing him the ball.
  8. Julio Jones: Julio finally broke TD curse last season and lead the NFL with 1,677 receiving yards. Should continue to be flooded with targets with the return of pass happy Dirk Koetter as the offensive coordinator.
  9. Todd Gurley: Am I crazy for ranking Gurley in my top 10? Maybe, but then again, maybe not. Sure, Gurley may lose “some” touches to keep him fresh throughout the season. But that doesn’t change the fact that the Rams pay him a ton of money. The Rams also want to win games, which by the way, Todd Gurley at running back gives them the best chance to do so. I still see Gurley getting around 15-17 touches a game, which includes redzone work in one of the leagues top offenses.
  10. David Johnson: A player who I was once very high on, DJ looks more like a boom or bust pick at this moment. DJ should benefit with a mobile QB, however the Cardinals offensive line looks AWFUL! Only a few years removed from a season with 2,118 yards from scrimmage, DJ could have a monster year if the offensive line can get things together.
  11. Dalvin Cook: You can talk about the injury risk, the offensive line, and that the Vikings absolutely stunk last year. However, “Its a New Day, Yes it is!” Playing with a Top 3 defense, an improved offensive line (hopefully), a head coach who wants to run the ball down opponents throats, and mix in check down city Kirky Cousins under center, opportunities should be plentiful for Cook in the land of 10,000 lakes. If Cook can finally stay healthy, he is a possible league winner you can get in the 2nd or 3rd round.
  12. James Conner: Le’Veon who? Subbing in for Bell last season, Conner only came close to 1,500 total yards and 13 total TDs in 13 games. There has been “talk” about splitting the workload this season, but under Tomlin the Steel Curtain have been known to ride their workhorse.
  13. Nick Chubb: With the trade of Duke Johnson, Nick Chubb has been shooting up draft boards. Playing in what should be a top-5 offense this season, Chubb should be a monster throughout the first 8 weeks of the season. Unfortunately, Chubb’s upside could be limited with Kareem Hunt waiting in the wings to steal touches.
  14. Michael Thomas: Coming off 92, 104, and 125 catch seasons. Saints finally have a reliable TE in Jared Cook who may steal some looks, especially in the redzone.
  15. Tyreek Hill: Now that the suspension talk is behind him, Tyreek “the freak” will get back to being the most explosive player in the NFL.
  16. Travis Kelce: Baby Gronk provides a weekly edge at the TE position. Takes a small hit with Tyreek Hill not facing a suspension.
  17. Le’Veon Bell: Following his 2018 holdout, Bell will be the “bell cow” for the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets! Still a believer in the talent, however Bells run style may not mesh well with a weaker O-line. Jets starting unit has looked great in the preseason so far, so the arrow may be pointing up.
  18. Antonio Brown: What a headache AB has become. Between having frostbitten feet and his current issue with his helmet of all things, AB seems to be spiraling out of control. Finally back at Raiders camp, AB should return to the 2nd round in fantasy drafts. While many may be scared off from drafting AB because of his recent behavior and the guy throwing him the football, I am still in on AB. Sure Derek Carr may be a downgrade at QB, but this isn’t a Kerry Collins to Randy Moss sized downgrade. AB will still see plenty of targets on a team that may be playing catch up most weeks.
  19. Leonard Fournette: Health is a big concern which is why many have Fournette ranked so low. But this is football, who isn’t an injury risk? The Jags as a team were awful last year. But they still have one of the top defenses, and oh yea….they also replaced that Bortles guy with Nick fricken Foles. Along with Dalvin Cook, I can see Fournette on many league winning rosters this year.
  20. Juju Smith-Schuster: Has performed well without Brown in the past, now the focal point in the passing game with lots of targets available.
  21. Mike Evans: With Djax and Humphries gone, there should be plenty of opportunities to pull down some of Winston’s erratic passes. Currently dealing with a leg injury but should be good to go week 1.
  22. Keenan Allen: Safe PPR floor, do not take the over on TDs. Has more upside if Melvin Gordon continues to holdout. Currently dealing with ankle injury, but it sounds like the Chargers are playing things safe.
  23. Julian Edelman: While everyone is waiting for the GOAT to fall off a cliff, he will still find Edelman for 90 catches.
  24. Aaron Jones: A popular breakout candidate in the fantasy community, offers league winning upside if the Packers would commit to him.
  25. Amari Cooper: Looking for that payday entering a contract year, 53/725/6 stat line in 9 starts for Cowboys. Currently dealing with an “intrinsic muscle strain” or plantar fasciitis. Whatever it is, keep close tabs on Cooper as that is an injury that could linger if he rushes back.
  26. George Kittle: His 1,377 receiving yards last season broke the record for receiving yards by a TE. I personally see a regression coming this season in yardage, but should improve on 5TDs. Kittle remains a set and forget at the TE position.
  27. Devonta Freeman: Another RB people seem to have forgotten about. With the departure of Tevin Coleman and an improved offensive line, Freeman is due for a bounce back. Still only 27 years old.
  28. Chris Carson: After taking over as the lead back for the Seahawks, Carson finished the season with over 1,000 yards and 9 TDs. Although Rashaad Penny’s role in the offense is expected to grow this season, Carson will still have plenty of opportunities in the Seahawks run-heavy offense.
  29. Joe Mixon: Following his breakout campaign, Mixon’s upside may be limited due to offensive line issues as well as the loss of AJ Green.
  30. Adam Thielen: With an emphasis on the run game, the volume may not be there this year. Has looked great in the preseason so far.
  31. Zach Ertz: Targets may take a hit with addition Djax and possible Goedert breakout looming.
  32. David Montgomery: Has looked the part in his first preseason action. Should immediately take over the Jordan Howard role with upside in the passing game. Bears are reportedly “in love” with him.
  33. Kerryon Johnson: The KJ hype train is picking up steam since the release of Theo Riddick. Has RB1 upside if the Lions would commit to him.
  34. Stefon Diggs: May see a decrease in targets, but will improve on big play potential with a focus on PA passes in Minny.
  35. Sony Michel: Was an absolute beast in the playoffs. Upside could be limited due to volume and injury concerns. Should easily hit double digit TDs if he stays healthy.
  36. Damien Williams: Is he the starter? Are the Chiefs going to have a running back by committee? Unfortunately we are going to have to wait and see how this plays out. In the 5 games Williams started with KC last season, Williams averaged 114 total yards and 2 TDs. Fun fact, in 20 seasons as an NFL head coach, Andy Reid has produced 12 RB1’s in fantasy.
  37. James White: Coming off an 87 catch season, White should continue to be a PPR machine with the loss of Gronk and several pass catchers in New England.
  38. Josh Jacobs: Has RB2 upside as the 3-down back on an improved Raiders offense, looked great in preseason action.
  39. Cooper Kupp: The highest ranked Rams receiver in these rankings. Kupp averaged 70 yards per game last season and was Mr. consistency prior to tearing his ACL in week 10. If Kupp played 16 games last season, he was on pace for 80 catches, 1,132 yards, and 12 TDs.
  40. Patrick Mahomes: What can’t be said about Mahomes? Coming off a ridiculous 5,000 yard season with 50TDs, Mahomes is due to be over drafted everywhere. Even with regression most likely coming, Mahomes offers top 3 upside at the QB position.
  41. Marlon Mack: Big fan of the talent, however Mack has volume concerns on passing downs due to Nyheim Hines. Could end up with more rushing attempts with Luck retirement.
  42. Brandin Cooks: Could end up as a boom or bust most weeks, coming off a career high year with 1,200 receiving yards.
  43. Chris Godwin: Taking over the “Larry Fitzgerald” slot role in Bruce Arians offense, Godwin could flirt with 90 catches.
  44. T.Y. Hilton: A lot of mouths to feed in Indy, may turn into a boom or bust most weeks. At least he plays against Houston twice a year. Upside takes a hit with Andrew Luck retirement.
  45. Robert Woods: Took over as the Rams most consistent WR after Kupp injury, solid WR2.
  46. Melvin Gordon: Previously a top 5 pick in my rankings, Gordon’s holdout has the feel of Le’Veon Bell’s holdout from last season. Gordon prepared to sit out games to begin season.
  47. Deshaun Watson: Coming off an ACL injury, Watson put up 4,165/26/9 and has room to grow. Has an excellent group of WRs to throw to and a defense that may force the Texans into plenty of shootouts.
  48. Tyler Lockett: Following a career year with almost 1,000 yards and 10TDs, Lockett will take over as the top WR option in Seattle.
  49. Will Fuller: Thanks to the wonders of modern day medicine, Fuller is a full go following a torn ACL last season. In 11 career games with Watson, Fuller has scored 14 TDs. Has WR2 upside if he can finally stay healthy.
  50. A.J. Green: Another season, and another injury for Green. Dealing with a low ankle sprain which will cause him to miss “a couple of games.” Stat line through 9 games last season: 46 receptions 694 yards 6TDs. Still an elite talent at the WR position when “healthy”.
  51. Hunter Henry: A full year removed from suffering a torn ACL, Hunter “Hearst” Henry has all the tools for a breakout season. Phillip Rivers loves his TE’s.
  52. Evan Engram: Has shined in games without OBJ, who else is going to catch passes from Eli?
  53. Aaron Rodgers: Coming off of back-to-back injury filled seasons, Rodgers may come at a huge discount……doublecheck? Rodgers claims that he wasn’t 100% at any point last season, and still managed 4,442 yards with 27 total TDs. Look for Double A to return to elite QB status in 2019.
  54. O.J. Howard: Was the TE5 last season before injuries cut his season short. Should see an increase in targets in the Bucs pass happy offense following the loss of Jackson and Humphries.
  55. Josh Gordon: Flash Gordon is back! In 13 games last season Gordon logged 41/737/4 averaging 18 yards per catch. Gordon will slide right into being the #2 option in the Patriots passing attack.
  56. Derrick Henry: Finished 2018 season averaging 150 yards and 7TDs over the final 4 games. Will be over drafted in many leagues, not sold on the Titans offense.
  57. Kenny Golladay: Coming off a season where he recorded 70/1063/5, Golladay is listed by many as a prime breakout candidate. Taking over as the primary passing option for the Lions, Golladay should have more opportunities to improve on his TD total in 2019.
  58. Calvin Ridley: Scored 10 TDs as a rookie and will continue to see 1 on 1 coverage with Julio Jones in the lineup.
  59. Austin Ekeler: The back to own if Melvin Gordon holds out into the season, has recorded 66 catches over his first two seasons.
  60. Mark Ingram: Has RB2 upside if given the bulk of the carries, should operate as Ravens goal line back.
  61. Sammy Watkins: Sammy’s fantasy value took a pretty big hit with Tyreek Hill returning to the Chiefs. However, Watkins still provides WR3 value and could have weeks where he flirts with WR1/WR2 numbers. Currently being undervalued everywhere.
  62. Mike Williams: Will start alongside Keenan Allen following Tyrell Williams departure, but may lack opportunities with return of Hunter Henry.
  63. Alshon Jeffery: Not the sexiest pick anymore, but Jeffery will remain a redzone favorite for Wentz. Upside limited with competition for targets.
  64. Latavius Murray: Could be slated for Mark Ingram role in Saints offense. Best viewed as an RB3/Flex play with 12-15 touches a game, has RB1 upside if Kamara misses any time this season.
  65. Baker Mayfield: Scored 27TDs in 14 games last season. With the addition of OBJ, Mayfield has top 5 upside this season.
  66. Tyler Boyd: Coming off breakout 76/1,028/7 season, will take over as the Bengals #1 pass option until A.J. Green is able to return.
  67. Duke Johnson: The main beneficiary of Lamar Millers ACL injury, Duke Johnson takes over the lead role for the Texans. The Texans are expected to add another back prior to the season opener.
  68. Carson Wentz: Has great supporting cast with Alshon, Djax, Ertz, Goedert, and Agholor. Healthy heading into 2019 season.
  69. Cam Newton: Had a career best 67.9% completion percentage and was a top 5 fantasy QB prior to last seasons shoulder injury. Now dealing with a foot sprain, but should be ready for week 1.
  70. Tevin Coleman: Has the highest upside among 49ers backfield. Familiarity with Shanahan system and McKinnon setbacks could open things up for Coleman.
  71. Allen Robinson: Fully healthy after dealing with ACL recovery and injuries last season, will continue to lead Bears in targets. Lacks elite upside as Bears spread the ball around.
  72. Marvin Jones: Everyone seems to be drinking the Kenny Golladay Kool-Aid this offseason and seem to be forgetting about Marvin Jones. Prior to a season ending knee injury, Jones was on pace for his second straight 1,000 yard season.
  73. Jarvis Landry: Loses upside with OBJ arrival, should still end up around 80 catches this season.
  74. Desean Jackson: Should be rejuvenated with return to Philly, still averaged 18.9 yards per catch last season with Fitz/Winston. Will have upgrade at QB.
  75. Robby Anderson: Expanding on his route tree and has been in on 23/23 Sam Darnold snaps this preseason. Jets offense looking good so far.
  76. Donte Moncrief: Injuries and Blake Bortles have slowed down Moncrief over the past few years. Could be a WR3 with upside as the WR2 for the Steelers. Reminds me of Marvin Jones prior to his breakout with the Lions.
  77. Phillip Lindsay: A waiver-wire gem last season, Lindsay put up over 1,000 rushing yards and 10 TDS in 15 games. Fully recovered from offseason wrist surgery, Lindsay will be sharing the load with Royce Freeman who is projected to have more opportunities this season.
  78. Miles Sanders: Still has Jordan Howard to compete with for touches, has shown flashes in limited preseason action. Should overtake Howard at some point.
  79. Curtis Samuel: Has been building up a ton of preseason hype, even the Buffalo Bills beat writers were drooling over him.
  80. D.J. Moore: Had flashes of his play-making abilities throughout his rookie season. A popular breakout candidate who will be taking on a larger role in the Panthers offense.
  81. Matt Ryan: Quietly finished last season with 4,924 passing yards and 35TDs.
  82. Sterling Shepard: Value pick in PPR leagues, who else is going to catch passes?
  83. Emmanuel Sanders: Written off by everybody following last seasons Achilles injury, Sanders looked great in his first preseason action. Immediately takes over as the top passing option for the Broncos.
  84. Vance McDonald: With the loss of AB and Jesse James, McDonald should have more opportunities, even if his snaps remain the same.
  85. Jared Goff: Has an elite supporting cast and should throw for 30+ TDs yet again.
  86. Tony Pollard: “Zeke Who?” Will be a weekly starter in fantasy until Zeke returns.
  87. Darwin Thompson: Skyrocketing up draft boards, Thompson should overtake Carlos Hyde as the #2 RB for the Chiefs. Could very well end up as the lead back for the Chiefs by season end.
  88. Corey Davis: The talent has never been the question, could turn into a big value on draft day if Mariota can become a consistent QB.
  89. Jared Cook: Was a TE1 with Derek Carr at QB, is the best TE Drew Brees has had since Jimmy Graham.
  90. Geronimo Allison: Was on pace for 76/1,156/8 season prior to injuries. Has Aaron Rodgers trust and will be featured in the slot role where Randall Cobb made a living for the Packers.
  91. Dede Westbrook: Chemistry with Nick Foles was on full display in the dress rehearsal game where Foles targeted Dede 6 times on 18 snaps.
  92. Derrius Guice: Showed plenty of juice in his first preseason action, Redskins offense may struggle and has to compete with All Day and Chris Thompson for touches.
  93. James Washington: Likely to start the season as the WR3 for the Steelers, Washington continues to show big play ability in the preseason.
  94. Jameis Winston: Famous Jameis could still turn the ball over a ton, but Winston should have a career year with an elite receiving core and a defense that will keep the Bucs in weekly shootouts.
  95. Drew Brees: With a top-10 defense and a run heavy offense, Brees days as a top 5 fantasy QB are gone. Still has week winning upside when playing at home.
  96. Kyler Murray: Playing in a pass heavy offense on a team with a weak defense, Murray has the potential to be the garbage time king this season.
  97. David Njoku: Will be third in the pecking order behind OBJ and Landry for targets, should be a reliable redzone threat for Baker Mayfield.
  98. Ronald Jones: If you have to take one of the Bucs RBs, take the one with the most upside.
  99. Larry Fitzgerald: Still the best route runner of all the Cardinals receivers, someone has to be getting all these catches in the Cardinals Air Raid offense.
  100. Tarik Cohen: Will lose passing game opportunities with the looming breakout of David Montgomery. Matt Nagy talked about reducing Cohen’s workload.